← Whale Watch

Tonymontana96

Predicting since Sep 2025182 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.6K on Politics markets since Sep 2025.

Right now: $695 across 8 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 27 ET?PoliticsYesResolved$1273.1¢0.0¢-$127
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 26 ET?PoliticsYesResolved$1765.0¢0.0¢-$176
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
US recession in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$1114¢0.0¢-$11
Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2?eSportsYesResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on August 31?EconomyYesResolved$44.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?TechYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$208.1¢0.0¢-$20
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Polish strike on Belarus by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$52.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-60 million views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$103.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say Gaza 5+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?MentionsNoResolved$517¢0.0¢-$5
Tyler Robinson released by September 19?PoliticsYesResolved$30.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in September?PoliticsYesResolved$102.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$31.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?PoliticsNoResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?TechYesResolved$1525¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump's UN speech be between 40 and 45 minutes?PoliticsYesResolved$10135¢0.0¢-$101
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?PoliticsYesResolved$608.1¢0.0¢-$60
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$152.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$107.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump's UN speech be between 30 and 35 minutes?PoliticsYesResolved$1617¢0.0¢-$16
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$35.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?TechYesResolved$108.6¢0.0¢-$10
Will Israel not strike Yemen by September 30 ET?PoliticsYesResolved$1414.4¢0.0¢-$141
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$201.7¢0.0¢-$20
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$30.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?MentionsYesResolved$153.1¢0.0¢-$15
Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$4015¢0.0¢-$40
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$2188.8¢0.0¢-$218
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?PoliticsYesResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $370b and $380b on August 31?EconomyYesResolved$43.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?MentionsNoResolved$517¢0.0¢-$5
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 28 ET?PoliticsYesResolved$922.4¢0.0¢-$92
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "King" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?MentionsYesResolved$1034¢0.0¢-$10
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$30.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $380b and $390b on August 31?EconomyYesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump's UN speech be less than 20 minutes?PoliticsYesResolved$165.7¢0.0¢-$16
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 29 ET?PoliticsYesResolved$742.0¢0.0¢-$74
Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?PoliticsYesResolved$695.0¢0.0¢-$69
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10017¢0.0¢-$100
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1014¢0.0¢-$10
Will Israel strike Yemen on or before September 23 ET?PoliticsYesResolved$56.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$296.3¢0.0¢-$29
Will Kimmel say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during return show on September 23?MentionsYesResolved$154.9¢0.0¢-$15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$30.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Globalist" or "Globalism" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?MentionsNoResolved$218.2¢0.0¢-$21
Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1026¢0.0¢-$10
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$5110¢0.0¢-$51
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$1425¢0.0¢-$14
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$70.9¢0.0¢-$7
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Russia in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$55.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 27?PoliticsYesResolved$71.4¢0.0¢-$7
Lee Jun-seok arrested by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$30.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$3321¢0.0¢-$33
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on August 31?EconomyYesResolved$43.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$65.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?WeatherYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?PoliticsYesResolved$52.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Vladimir" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?MentionsYesResolved$2527¢0.0¢-$25
Polish strike on Russia by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$21.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$153.2¢0.0¢-$15
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Peace" 10+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?MentionsYesResolved$1570¢0.0¢-$15
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 24 ET?PoliticsYesResolved$415¢0.0¢-$4
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$30.8¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump's UN speech be between 25 and 30 minutes?PoliticsYesResolved$105.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 30 ET?PoliticsYesResolved$762.1¢0.0¢-$76
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?MentionsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Yemen by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$87.5¢0.0¢-$8
Will China blockade Taiwan by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$204.9¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?MentionsNoResolved$519¢0.0¢-$5
Will no leader be out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$180.6¢0.0¢-$18
Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2014¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?MentionsYesResolved$204.2¢0.0¢-$20
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$143.2¢0.0¢-$14
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?MentionsYesResolved$1554¢0.0¢-$15
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?WeatherYesResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$329¢0.0¢-$3
Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$40.1¢0.0¢-$4
Nuclear weapon detonation before October?PoliticsYesResolved$51.8¢0.0¢-$5
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?WeatherNoResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump's UN speech be between 20 and 25 minutes?PoliticsYesResolved$144.0¢0.0¢-$14
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?WeatherYesResolved$52.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?EconomyNoResolved$60.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$61.4¢0.0¢-$6
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?WeatherNoResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?MentionsYesResolved$1053¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.6K
Culture-$385
Mentions-$196
eSports-$115
Economy-$68
Tech+$36
Weather-$18
Biggest hit
+$128
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Toughest beat
-$62
Will Trump's UN speech be between 35 and 40 minutes?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$216mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?$59mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$109mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?$59mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?$49mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?$59mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?$29mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?$109mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?$109mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?$39mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Skye Valadez confirmed perp?$199mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?$39mo ago