 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $100 | 14¢ | 27¢ | +$100 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 25¢ | 7.5¢ | -$70 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 20¢ | 2.7¢ | -$17 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Tech | NoResolved | $40 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?NFL | YesResolved | $10 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the US strike Colombia next?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Grok 4.20 released by January 9?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| TikTok sale announced by March 31?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Grok 4.20 released by January 15?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Grok 4.20 released by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing?Mentions | YesResolved | $100 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 30%?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $150 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the US strike Venezuela next?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the US strike Mexico next?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
 Will Côte d'Ivoire win Miss Universe 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $46 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
 Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Tech | NoResolved | $70 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $150 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
 Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11910d ago