 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $446 | 68¢ | 81¢ | +$85 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $269 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 27?Weather | No | $277 | 79¢ | 81¢ | +$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?Weather | Yes | $24 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | +$239 |
 Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-30?Soccer (other) | No | $297 | 50¢ | 43¢ | -$40 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $200 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 10¢ | 51¢ | +$152 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | No | $128 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$43 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?Weather | Yes | $15 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | +$155 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $176 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$7 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?Weather | No | $183 | 81¢ | 73¢ | -$19 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $14 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | +$143 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or higher on July 26?Weather | No | $105 | 65¢ | 97¢ | +$50 |
 Will Kingborough Lions United FC win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other) | No | $147 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 26?Weather | No | $107 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$41 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Culture | No | $329 | 84¢ | 37¢ | -$186 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 26?Weather | No | $111 | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$25 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 3.8¢ | 32¢ | +$115 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 26?Weather | No | $78 | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$52 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 3.8¢ | 30¢ | +$106 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 27?Weather | No | $106 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $10 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | +$101 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $53 | 39¢ | 81¢ | +$57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $10 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | +$98 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $109 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 26?Weather | No | $102 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $100 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $9 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | +$94 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 26?Weather | No | $76 | 67¢ | 90¢ | +$26 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $22 | 14¢ | 64¢ | +$75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 26?Weather | No | $91 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSports | No | $107 | 70¢ | 62¢ | -$13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 27?Weather | No | $91 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-07-30?Soccer (other) | No | $85 | 72¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Politics | No | $52 | 48¢ | 80¢ | +$35 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 26?Weather | No | $71 | 65¢ | 79¢ | +$16 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 26?Weather | No | $95 | 72¢ | 66¢ | -$9 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?Weather | No | $88 | 83¢ | 77¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?Weather | NoResolved | $65 | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$16 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 27?Weather | No | $83 | 75¢ | 72¢ | -$3 |
 Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | No | $78 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 27?Weather | No | $82 | 78¢ | 76¢ | -$2 |
 Will "72 Hours" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $55 | 66¢ | 95¢ | +$24 |
| Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?Other sports | No | $44 | 55¢ | 98¢ | +$35 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?Economy | No | $78 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?Economy | No | $76 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $101 | 88¢ | 66¢ | -$26 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?Weather | No | $44 | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$27 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.0¢ | 95¢ | +$67 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 26?Weather | No | $48 | 64¢ | 92¢ | +$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $47 | 39¢ | 56¢ | +$19 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 26?Weather | No | $68 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
 Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather | Yes | $51 | 73¢ | 93¢ | +$14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 3.8¢ | 16¢ | +$48 |
| Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5%-10.5%?Finance | No | $56 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$7 |
| Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?Tech | Yes | $64 | 74¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
 Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $53 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
 Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $57 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
| Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 22%+?Finance | No | $59 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $57 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 26?Weather | No | $32 | 46¢ | 85¢ | +$27 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 26?Weather | Yes | $10 | 9.1¢ | 53¢ | +$48 |
 Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $56 | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
| Amphenol (APH) Q2 organic sales growth 32%-36%?Finance | No | $63 | 85¢ | 76¢ | -$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 27?Weather | No | $57 | 74¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 26?Weather | No | $34 | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$20 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 52¢ | 68¢ | +$12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 26?Weather | No | $55 | 91¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $5 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | +$49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 27?Weather | No | $56 | 59¢ | 56¢ | -$3 |
 Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $51 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Will Seoul have 100mm or more of precipitation in July?Weather | Yes | $51 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?Culture | Yes | $11 | 14¢ | 66¢ | +$41 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 3.8¢ | 13¢ | +$36 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 10¢ | 16¢ | +$19 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Culture | No | $219 | 67¢ | 16¢ | -$168 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Politics | No | $48 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $42 | 29¢ | 34¢ | +$8 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 27?Weather | No | $55 | 55¢ | 49¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $132 | 77¢ | 28¢ | -$83 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in July?Economy | No | $46 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
| Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-30?Soccer (other) | No | $47 | 32¢ | 33¢ | +$1 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?Economy | Yes | $20 | 8.3¢ | 20¢ | +$27 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $45 | 34¢ | 37¢ | +$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 26?Weather | No | $40 | 47¢ | 56¢ | +$8 |
 Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $46 | 65¢ | 67¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $45 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Economy | No | $42 | 57¢ | 64¢ | +$5 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $39 | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 26?Weather | No | $44 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?Economy | No | $47 | 65¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $5 | 9.1¢ | 79¢ | +$40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 27?Weather | No | $40 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $6 | 3.4¢ | 24¢ | +$36 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $26 | 59¢ | 95¢ | +$16 |
| Starbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 7%-9%?Finance | No | $41 | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Politics | No | $34 | 74¢ | 90¢ | +$8 |
| Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other) | Yes | $13 | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$27 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $39 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $8 | 20¢ | 98¢ | +$31 |
Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 26?$018m ago