 Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Tech | No | $190 | 69¢ | 86¢ | +$47 |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $157 | 51¢ | 75¢ | +$72 |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)Tech | No | $212 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$12 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | No | $49 | 53¢ | 82¢ | +$27 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Tech | Yes | $103 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$32 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $41 | 54¢ | 74¢ | +$15 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Tech | Yes | $29 | 37¢ | 42¢ | +$4 |
 Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 2.9¢ | 3.6¢ | +$4 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 12¢ | 32¢ | +$10 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 16¢ | 31¢ | +$7 |
| Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 46¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | Yes | $8 | 16¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 61¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 64¢ | 70¢ | +$1 |
| Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | Yes | $17 | 13¢ | 2.9¢ | -$13 |
 Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 8.0¢ | 6.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$0 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $22 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $160 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $5 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5NBA | UnderResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 19, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Champions League | UnderResolved | $4 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Claude Mythos be released on June 11?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $42 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 16, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Culture | NoResolved | $21 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?NBA | NoResolved | $7 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released prior to August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $23 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?Tech | YesResolved | $111 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$111 |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Khamzat ChimaevResolved | $300 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $19 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $36 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 29, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 18, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Spurs vs. KnicksNBA | SpursResolved | $98 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
| Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 191.5NBA | UnderResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?Tech | YesResolved | $109 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$109 |
 Will Anthropic have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $63 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 5, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $33 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will Frank Ocean attend the Met Gala?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5La Liga | UnderResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $31 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $35 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5La Liga | UnderResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $794 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$794 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $460 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$460 |
 Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $7 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $144 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$144 |
| Will Meta be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $47 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to September 1, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $78 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
| Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $176 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$176 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 25, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| France vs. England: O/U 1.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $3 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $123 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$123 |
 Philadelphia Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18, 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?Tech | YesResolved | $94 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on or prior to September 1, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $45 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 2, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Lakers vs. RocketsNBA | LakersResolved | $4 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Cashed out Yes · Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?$20010h ago
Bought Yes · Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?$02d ago