 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $282 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$44 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $160 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$7 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $150 | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $35 | 2.6¢ | 7.4¢ | +$64 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $21 | 19¢ | 50¢ | +$34 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $42 | 84¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $38 | 38¢ | 32¢ | -$6 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $51 | 62¢ | 17¢ | -$37 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$5 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 5.5¢ | 3.8¢ | -$3 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 21¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.5¢ | +$2 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $5 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5NBA | UnderResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $21 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Claude Mythos be released on June 11?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $42 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 16, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?NBA | NoResolved | $7 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $23 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?Tech | YesResolved | $111 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$111 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Khamzat ChimaevResolved | $300 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $36 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 29, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Spurs vs. KnicksNBA | SpursResolved | $98 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
| Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 191.5NBA | UnderResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?Tech | YesResolved | $109 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$109 |
| Will Anthropic have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $63 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
 Will Frank Ocean attend the Met Gala?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $31 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $794 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$794 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $460 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$460 |
 Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $7 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $47 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $78 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $176 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$176 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 25, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| France vs. England: O/U 1.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $3 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Philadelphia Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18, 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?Tech | YesResolved | $94 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 2, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Lakers vs. RocketsNBA | LakersResolved | $4 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5NBA | OverResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5Soccer (other) | UnderResolved | $16 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |