FergusL

Predicting since Jul 202522 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?Politics	YesResolved	$100	12¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 18–25?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?Politics	YesResolved	$20	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?Politics	YesResolved	$50	4.6¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?Politics	NoResolved	$140	14¢	0.0¢	-$140
Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberPolitics	YesResolved	$100	18¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?Politics	YesResolved	$50	20¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?Politics	YesResolved	$20	21¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?Politics	YesResolved	$20	5.5¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?Politics	YesResolved	$50	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?Politics	YesResolved	$100	20¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Trump say "Biden" during his AI speech on July 23?Mentions	NoResolved	$20	19¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Tech	YesResolved	$10	1.7¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his AI speech on July 23?Mentions	YesResolved	$25	54¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?Mentions	YesResolved	$300	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$300
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 8?Crypto	YesResolved	$50	6.8¢	0.0¢	-$50

Realized + open PnL by category

Mentions+$557

Politics-$324

Crypto-$42

Tech-$10

Biggest hit

+$902

Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?

Bought No · Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$14011mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$30011mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?$2011mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 8?$5011mo ago
Bought Yes · Nothing Ever Happens: October$10011mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?$201y ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?$101y ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?$101y ago
Sold Yes · Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?$1.0K1y ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?$501y ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?$501y ago
Sold No · Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?$4521y ago