 NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)Politics | Labour | $14 | 71¢ | 47¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $9 | 17¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $10 | 19¢ | 15¢ | -$2 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 13¢ | -$4 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $5 | 26¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
 Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $8 | 76¢ | 61¢ | -$2 |
| Will Josh Jacobs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?NFL | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 10¢ | -$2 |
| Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5%-10.5%?Finance | No | $4 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will anyone say "Evict" during Big Brother E10?Mentions | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 26?Weather | No | $3 | 63¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 27?Weather | No | $4 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?Tech | Yes | $4 | 7.6¢ | 7.3¢ | -$0 |
| Will Lateefah Simon win the CA-12 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$0 |
 Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 22¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
 Will Leon Goretzka join Newcastle United?Soccer (other) | Yes | $3 | 47¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
| Will Booking (BKNG) Q2 gross bookings be above $49B?Finance | No | $4 | 21¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $82.5B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $17 | 33¢ | 5.5¢ | -$14 |
| Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mitchell Berman be the WI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $2 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 13¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | No | $6 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $9 | 18¢ | 5.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $4 | 20¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
| Will Bradley Barcola join Real Madrid?Soccer (other) | Yes | $9 | 47¢ | 12¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?Politics | No | $2 | 4.7¢ | 4.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
| Will anyone say "Mercy" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Mentions | No | $3 | 13¢ | 10¢ | -$1 |
 Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Soccer (other) | Yes | $5 | 27¢ | 9.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $6 | 34¢ | 9.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | No | $1 | 31¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 36¢ | 7.5¢ | -$6 |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by December 31?Economy | No | $1 | 36¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
| Will Altria (MO) Q2 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in millions) be above 16M?Finance | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 7.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 6.6¢ | -$1 |
| Meta (META) Q2 average price per ad growth 9%-12%?Finance | No | $1 | 72¢ | 62¢ | -$0 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 27¢ | 27¢ | -$0 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 24?Weather | No | $1 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $1 | 58¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
 Will Junior Caminero hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Politics | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 6.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?Weather | Yes | $2 | 4.4¢ | 2.7¢ | -$1 |
| Will anyone say "God" 3+ times during Rick and Morty E10 S9?Mentions | No | $4 | 13¢ | 3.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 20¢ | 5.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump post "Wall Street" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | Yes | $1 | 4.0¢ | 4.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on June 23?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will another outcome occur in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 24?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Viktor Hovland finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Golf | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or below on June 23?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the announcers say "Visa" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | NoResolved | $4 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $83 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C or higher on June 17?Weather | YesResolved | $11 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 3?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Netherlands finish last in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World Cup | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 21?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 21?Weather | YesResolved | $14 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will J.J. Spaun finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Golf | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Adam Novotný be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?NHL | YesResolved | $4 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Vincent Kompany be the next manager of Manchester City FC?Premier League | YesResolved | $7 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on June 22?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Anthony Elanga score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $34 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | NoResolved | $11 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will the announcers say "History" during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | NoResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will William Pacho score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | NoResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on June 18?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 25?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 18?Weather | YesResolved | $42 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| Will the announcers say "History" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 22?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the New Zealand vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | NoResolved | $2 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on June 19?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 18?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 21?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 21?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the announcers say "Pressure" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | NoResolved | $4 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 22?Weather | YesResolved | $14 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Paraguay vs France FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on June 23?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 19?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Kingston Flemings be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 18?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 17?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Angela Rayner be in the Burnham cabinet?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 18?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 21?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the announcers say "Verizon" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Karim Lopez be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Sold Yes · Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?$71h ago