← Whale Watch

HALLIUS

Predicting since Nov 20257,070 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$1542¢25¢-$6
Will Strava’s market cap be at least $15B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$411¢19¢+$3
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$15.9¢20¢+$3
Will Alexander Volkanovski fight Arnold Allen next?UFC / MMAYes$135¢40¢+$0
Will Movsar Evloev fight Arnold Allen next?UFC / MMAYes$247¢40¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 16?WeatherYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Malena Adrada be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Filip Forsberg win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?NHLYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Jesper Bratt win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will "Ms. Rachel: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 17?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 18?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.2¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 3?WeatherYesResolved$25.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on March 21?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on March 24?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.8¢0.0¢+$0
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the CAA (Coastal Athletic Association)?Basketball (other)YesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Lehigh win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other)YesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Khamenei post 200+ posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Mathis Preston be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?NHLYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 24?WeatherYesResolved$825¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-1.8¢0.0¢+$0
Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other)YesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Michigan State win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on March 21?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.3¢0.0¢+$0
Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on June 22?CryptoYesResolved$01.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.3¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 20?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on March 24?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.3¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 19?WeatherYesResolved-$0-1.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in March 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Lambert Meilhac be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Peyton Stearns win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?TennisYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 18?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.4¢0.0¢+$0
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Missouri Valley conference?Basketball (other)YesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?La LigaYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Jonathan Marchessault win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?NHLYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 20?WeatherYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on March 27?WeatherYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or below on February 9?WeatherYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 31°F or below on March 18?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.4¢0.0¢+$0
Will Brandon Hagel win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?NHLYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 19?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.5¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 10?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Syracuse win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q1 2026TechYesResolved-$0-0.2¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 23?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.3¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in March 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Singapore vs. Mongolia end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$365¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Detroit Pistons have the worst record in the NBA?NBAYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 25?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.3¢0.0¢+$0
Will Cal Baptist win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Illinois win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Marcelo Alves win Big Brother Brasil 26?CultureYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Khamenei post 160-179 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on March 24?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Owen Tippett win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will "Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 11?CultureYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in March 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Mackenzie Blackwood win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Louisville win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other)YesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Leon Draisaitl win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?NHLYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?NBAYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on March 16?WeatherYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on March 25?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.3¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 9?WeatherYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 49°F or below on March 18?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.4¢0.0¢+$0
Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be less than $472,000 on May 31?EconomyYesResolved$19.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Castres Olympique win?Other sportsYesResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2
Will Nebraska win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?NBAYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Summit League conference?Basketball (other)YesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on March 20?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.6¢0.0¢+$0
Will Tynan Lawrence be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?NHLYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 18?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.5¢0.0¢+$0
Will Penn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other)YesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on March 26?WeatherYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$341¢0.0¢-$3
Will Viggo Björck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?NHLYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Jake Guentzel win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 19?CryptoYesResolved$57.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 16?WeatherYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Oxford United win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?Soccer (other)YesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves have the worst record in the NBA?NBAYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.3¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 18?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.2¢0.0¢+$0
Military action against Iran ends before April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 69 million views on day 4?CultureYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 1°C on April 10?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.4¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 19?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.2¢0.0¢+$0
Military action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather-$153
Culture-$134
Other sports-$69
Soccer (other)-$53
Economy-$40
Crypto+$24
MLB-$17
Finance-$9
NFL+$8
Politics-$8
Tennis-$6
Tech+$5
Biggest hit
+$31
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $92,000 on November 19?
Toughest beat
-$13
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 10?$09d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?$09d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 7?$09d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 17?$09d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 11 be greater than 2,300,000?$09d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 11 be between 1,500,000 and 1,700,000?$09d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 4m?$09d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C or higher on February 10?$09d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?$09d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?$09d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 4.5m and 5m?$09d ago