Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $23 | 58¢ | 75¢ | +$7 |
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $25 | 52¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions | No | $20 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 7.6¢ | 95¢ | +$17 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $10 | 38¢ | 60¢ | +$6 |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $14 | 90¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
| Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 47¢ | 23¢ | -$13 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 57¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $10 | 85¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $5 | 1.9¢ | 3.1¢ | +$3 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $8 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $5 | 40¢ | 60¢ | +$3 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?Culture | Yes | $5 | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $5 | 64¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $6 | 83¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | Yes | $5 | 79¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $5 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 66¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $5 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sports | No | $5 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump’s remarks not air?Mentions | No | $5 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?Culture | Yes | $5 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $5 | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $5 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $4 | 68¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $5 | 61¢ | 60¢ | -$0 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $5 | 24¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Politics | No | $4 | 72¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
Will Warsh say "North Star" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $5 | 73¢ | 60¢ | -$1 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $4 | 41¢ | 42¢ | +$0 |
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 60¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Politics | Yes | $3 | 6.2¢ | 5.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Politics | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | No | $4 | 99¢ | 51¢ | -$2 |
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 38¢ | 31¢ | -$0 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 32¢ | 36¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Tech | Yes | $2 | 79¢ | 55¢ | -$1 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Politics | Yes | $1 | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?Other | Yes | $2 | 59¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?Tech | Yes | $1 | 22¢ | 23¢ | +$0 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | NoResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump say "Family" 5+ times during remarks in Georgia?Mentions | NoResolved | $10 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?World Cup | NoResolved | $6 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 97¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | NoResolved | $6 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during remarks in Georgia?Mentions | NoResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?Culture | YesResolved | $32 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |