0x7Ee4fE442C5b7fcFbdcAd499e3E0dE293FDb6832-1776191929358

Predicting since Apr 202644 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Weather	Yes	$12	11¢	90¢	+$86
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?Weather	Yes	$13	9.9¢	4.3¢	-$8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?Weather	YesResolved	$20	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?Weather	YesResolved	$10	7.3¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?Weather	YesResolved	$30	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$25	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$7	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?La Liga	NoResolved	$12	7.2¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$15	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?Weather	NoResolved	$100	44¢	0.0¢	-$100
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?Premier League	NoResolved	$20	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$71	27¢	0.0¢	-$71
Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$91	27¢	0.0¢	-$91
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?Weather	YesResolved	$10	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?Weather	YesResolved	$20	21¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$3	11¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$25	22¢	0.0¢	-$25

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$285

Politics+$171

Weather-$125

Crypto+$49

Premier League-$20

La Liga-$17

Soccer (other)-$13

Champions League-$9

Biggest hit

+$343

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Toughest beat

-$75

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?

Recent moves

Sold No · Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?$263mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$613mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?$393mo ago
Sold No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$753mo ago
Sold No · Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$843mo ago
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$973mo ago
Sold No · Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$1033mo ago
Sold No · Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$773mo ago
Sold No · Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$1583mo ago
Sold No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$1323mo ago
Sold No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$953mo ago
Bought No · Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?$23mo ago