← Whale Watch

l492

Predicting since Mar 2026484 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$2012¢52¢+$68
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2131¢73¢+$27
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$1529¢87¢+$31
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1631¢85¢+$27
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$4289¢88¢-$0
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1524¢55¢+$20
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$2145¢74¢+$13
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$2765¢81¢+$7
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?NBANo$2786¢99¢+$4
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$2157¢84¢+$10
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?PoliticsNo$2156¢80¢+$9
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?CryptoYes$1619¢36¢+$14
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?PoliticsYesResolved$2171¢100¢+$8
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$2157¢80¢+$8
Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?PoliticsYes$1648¢86¢+$12
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoNo$2668¢71¢+$1
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsYes$1622¢38¢+$11
Will Sharice Davids be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?PoliticsNo$1558¢100¢+$11
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?CryptoNo$2169¢85¢+$5
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2162¢76¢+$5
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?PoliticsNo$2583¢83¢-$0
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?PoliticsYes$1562¢99¢+$9
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$2162¢72¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$2176¢86¢+$3
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?CryptoNo$2081¢93¢+$3
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?PoliticsNo$1650¢72¢+$7
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFLYes$2616¢14¢-$3
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?PoliticsYes$2780¢67¢-$4
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?CryptoNo$2190¢96¢+$1
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$2174¢79¢+$1
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$1671¢99¢+$6
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$1530¢43¢+$7
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?TechYes$1540¢56¢+$6
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$1517¢24¢+$6
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$1147¢92¢+$10
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?EconomyNo$2179¢79¢+$0
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?CryptoYes$2043¢43¢+$0
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?NFLYes$3658¢32¢-$16
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$1675¢95¢+$4
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?MLBNo$1678¢99¢+$4
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1514¢17¢+$4
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$1579¢97¢+$3
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$1541¢49¢+$3
Will Trump nationalize elections?PoliticsNo$1669¢81¢+$3
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?CryptoNo$1571¢84¢+$3
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?PoliticsNo$1660¢65¢+$1
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLBNo$1681¢88¢+$1
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1668¢75¢+$1
NATO article 5 before 2027?PoliticsNo$1687¢92¢+$1
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?Crypto$60$1572¢78¢+$1
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$1683¢88¢+$1
Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$1590¢98¢+$1
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?TechNo$1679¢81¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1679¢81¢+$0
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1690¢93¢+$0
Decibel FDV above $20M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1678¢79¢+$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2127¢21¢-$4
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?PoliticsNo$1669¢70¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1579¢83¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1526¢28¢+$1
Will New York Mets win the 2026 NL East title?MLBNo$1169¢100¢+$5
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$1685¢84¢-$0
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?PoliticsYes$1672¢70¢-$0
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsNo$1678¢77¢-$0
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?CryptoNo$1692¢90¢-$0
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$2191¢65¢-$6
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1682¢77¢-$1
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1024¢34¢+$4
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$1511¢11¢-$1
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechNo$2039¢27¢-$7
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1659¢52¢-$2
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1591¢81¢-$2
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?FinanceNo$2139¢25¢-$8
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?WeatherYes$1514¢12¢-$2
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1515¢13¢-$2
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?CryptoNo$1184¢96¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1517¢14¢-$3
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?PoliticsNo$1180¢89¢+$1
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1649¢38¢-$4
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLBYes$1513¢9.5¢-$4
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1186¢92¢+$1
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?CryptoYes$1536¢27¢-$4
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFLNo$1186¢89¢+$0
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?CultureYes$1512¢8.9¢-$4
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$1517¢12¢-$5
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1190¢89¢-$0
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechYes$2671¢28¢-$16
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch?CryptoYes$1522¢14¢-$6
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1561¢34¢-$7
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$1019¢16¢-$2
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1666¢34¢-$8
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$1024¢19¢-$2
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1017¢12¢-$3
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsYes$2134¢11¢-$14
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?TechYes$1678¢33¢-$9
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1028¢19¢-$3
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$1217¢9.5¢-$5
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$770¢70¢+$0
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$2163¢20¢-$14
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$3624¢4.0¢-$30

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$381
NHL+$210
World Cup-$133
Tech-$120
Crypto-$107
Culture-$107
Finance-$103
Economy+$80
eSports-$66
Weather-$51
Mentions-$46
UFC / MMA+$32
Biggest hit
+$111
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Toughest beat
-$16
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Recent moves

  • MERGE Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?$1812d ago
  • MERGE Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?$1912d ago
  • MERGE Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?$2212d ago
  • MERGE Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$2612d ago
  • MERGE Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$2912d ago
  • MERGE Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$3912d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$012d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$012d ago