← Whale Watch

Paskobg

Predicting since May 202654 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?TechNo$553¢81¢+$3
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?TechYes$442¢61¢+$2
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$70.5¢0.4¢-$2
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$548¢50¢+$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureNo$598¢98¢+$0
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?PoliticsYes$650¢35¢-$2
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$526¢18¢-$2
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$314¢9.5¢-$1
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$19.0¢13¢+$1
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?TechYes$12.4¢3.0¢+$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$116¢17¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14?WeatherYesResolved$627¢0.0¢-$6
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$53.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?PoliticsYesResolved$314.1¢0.0¢-$31
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$341¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 29?WeatherYesResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 17?WeatherYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will King Charles say "Mother" during State Opening?MentionsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1133¢0.0¢-$11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?WeatherYesResolved$1015¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 30?WeatherYesResolved$233¢0.0¢-$2
Will London have between 70-80mm of precipitation in June?WeatherYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$592¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?WeatherYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will Germany be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1058¢0.0¢-$10
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?CryptoYesResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will London have between 20-25mm of precipitation in May?WeatherYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will King Charles say "Starmer" during State Opening?MentionsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$51.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 30?WeatherYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$52.4¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather+$63
Politics-$49
Crypto-$10
World Cup-$7
Culture-$6
Tech-$4
Mentions-$1
Biggest hit
+$79
Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?
Toughest beat
-$4
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$13d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$13d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$23d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$24d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$54d ago
  • Bought No · Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$54d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 17?$110d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in June?$524d ago
  • Bought No · Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$125d ago
  • Bought No · Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$1026d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will London have between 70-80mm of precipitation in June?$126d ago