 Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $38 | 46¢ | 81¢ | +$29 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 21¢ | 49¢ | +$35 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 9.1¢ | 80¢ | +$51 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 12¢ | 20¢ | +$18 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | Yes | $32 | 43¢ | 56¢ | +$10 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $33 | 68¢ | 77¢ | +$4 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | Yes | $39 | 32¢ | 26¢ | -$8 |
 Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $19 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 31¢ | 25¢ | -$4 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 16¢ | 20¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 58¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 52¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech | Yes | $5 | 16¢ | 23¢ | +$2 |
 Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $6 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.1¢ | 5.3¢ | +$2 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 20¢ | 8.5¢ | -$8 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 28¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 9.1¢ | 3.2¢ | -$6 |
 Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 8.6¢ | 3.1¢ | -$6 |
 Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.1¢ | 4.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 5.0¢ | 7.0¢ | +$1 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 52¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 22¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 25¢ | 6.6¢ | -$3 |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $56 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $56 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $56 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $18 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $116 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$116 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $56 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $56 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $11 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $49 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $56 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.25 on August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |