 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $200 | 10.0¢ | 42¢ | +$640 |
 Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $50 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$50 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $12 | 2.8¢ | 14¢ | +$47 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $35 | 5.9¢ | 8.5¢ | +$16 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $130 | 6.5¢ | 2.1¢ | -$89 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1 | 9.0¢ | 91¢ | +$12 |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $54 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$49 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $25 | 17¢ | 2.8¢ | -$21 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $33 | 20¢ | 0.9¢ | -$32 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Other | YesResolved | $2 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $265 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$265 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $294 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$294 |
 Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?Crypto | NoResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $266 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$266 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $9 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $49 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
 Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Holocaust" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Mentions | NoResolved | $7 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?Finance | DownResolved | $6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $37 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?Crypto | YesResolved | $69 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
 US strike on Syria by December 14?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $6 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $57 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
 Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement?Mentions | YesResolved | $421 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$421 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Mentions | NoResolved | $10 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Politics | YesResolved | $69 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $42 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Wealthfront's market cap be between $1.95B and $2.05B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Trump say "Anti-Semitic" or "Anti-Semitism" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Mentions | NoResolved | $4 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of January?Finance | YesResolved | $106 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
 Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $30 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $62 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $104 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$104 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" or "boat" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Mentions | YesResolved | $7 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $21 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 10?Finance | UpResolved | $16 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics | NoResolved | $22 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?Mentions | YesResolved | $30 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Wealthfront's market cap be between $1.75B and $1.85B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Odds of Maduro out by March 31 on Friday over 35%?Politics | NoResolved | $51 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
| Will Trump say "Howard" or "Witkoff" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Mentions | NoResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Merry Christmas" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?Mentions | YesResolved | $11 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement by Dec 31 on Friday over 30%?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Politics | NoResolved | $225 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$225 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $207 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$207 |
 Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Politics | NoResolved | $158 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$158 |
| Will Trump say "Bible" or "Pastor" during Hanukkah reception on Tuesday?Mentions | YesResolved | $6 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement by Dec 31 on Friday over 25%?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump say "Drug" 3+ times during the announcement on December 19?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $13 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on February 9?Finance | NoResolved | $22 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $23 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 9?Finance | DownResolved | $9 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $152 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
 Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Politics | NoResolved | $23 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $33 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Will Wealthfront's market cap be greater than $2.05B at market close on IPO day?Tech | NoResolved | $52 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $85 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Politics | YesResolved | $142 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$142 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Finance | NoResolved | $18 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 23?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
