← Whale Watch

laidaodao

Predicting since May 202648 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $15K riding on Which party will win the House in 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$15K84¢86¢+$285
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.9K98¢99¢+$53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1.5K89¢92¢+$38
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1.3K40¢38¢-$59
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.1K91¢94¢+$32
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$72096¢97¢+$12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$67493¢97¢+$31
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$65190¢93¢+$20
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$65692¢91¢-$7
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$60030¢20¢-$210
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$38047¢32¢-$124
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$17013¢13¢-$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$912.6¢2.8¢+$5
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$8093¢95¢+$1
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$361.5¢2.1¢+$15
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$482.3¢2.4¢+$1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$4896¢95¢-$0
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$580.8¢0.4¢-$25
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3914¢12¢-$7
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$2894¢97¢+$1
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?PoliticsYes$2798¢96¢-$1
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?CryptoYes$2719¢7.6¢-$16
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$977¢56¢-$2
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$63.5¢3.0¢-$1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$439¢41¢+$0
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$300.4¢0.0¢-$30
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$42.8¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$292
World Cup+$232
Crypto-$16
Biggest hit
+$234
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Toughest beat
-$77
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$761d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$611d ago
  • Sold No · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$1881d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$2001d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2001d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$691d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$521d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$2001d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2001d ago
  • Sold No · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$2001d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$1861d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$141d ago