0.5percent

Predicting since Feb 2025448 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Nevada have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Weather	Yes	$39	78¢	94¢	+$8
Will Mississippi have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Weather	Yes	$39	79¢	85¢	+$3
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$26	64¢	66¢	+$1
Will Nebraska have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Weather	Yes	$17	79¢	64¢	-$3
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Tech	Yes	$12	31¢	28¢	-$1
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech	Yes	$7	40¢	45¢	+$1
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Tech	Yes	$5	18¢	28¢	+$2
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$4	8.0¢	9.0¢	+$1
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$4	21¢	21¢	-$0
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech	No	$2	12¢	20¢	+$2
Will Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$1	0.6¢	1.6¢	+$2
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech	Yes	$8	8.0¢	2.5¢	-$5
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Politics	Yes	$4	19¢	13¢	-$1
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics	Yes	$7	17¢	5.9¢	-$5
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$6	19¢	5.5¢	-$4
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	17¢	23¢	+$0
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	10¢	12¢	+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$172

Tech-$82

Finance-$60

Weather+$47

eSports+$42

Mentions-$29

NBA-$27

Culture+$22

Politics+$14

NHL+$7

Champions League+$4

NFL+$4

Biggest hit

+$26

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner

Toughest beat

-$73

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Recent moves

Sold No · Will more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?$81h ago
Bought No · Will more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?$102h ago
Sold Yes · Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?$12h ago
Sold Yes · Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?$62h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026?$422h ago
Cashed out No · Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$022h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?$022h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?$022h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?$022h ago
Cashed out No · Will Russia target Kyiv on September 9, 2026?$022h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?$022h ago
Cashed out No · Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$022h ago