catwatching

Predicting since Jan 202624 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	21¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?Weather	YesResolved	$65	22¢	0.0¢	-$65
US forces enter Iran by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18.5m?Culture	YesResolved	$1	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?Weather	YesResolved	$6	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture	YesResolved	$1	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	22¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$15	13¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$2	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will there be at least 40 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$4	5.5¢	0.0¢	-$4

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather-$71

Politics-$16

Culture-$7

Tech-$6

Biggest hit

+$9

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Toughest beat

-$5

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$15mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$15mo ago
Sold Yes · Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$05mo ago
Bought Yes · Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?$65mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$65mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$66mo ago
Sold Yes · Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$66mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$46mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$16mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$16mo ago
Bought Yes · Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18.5m?$16mo ago
Bought Yes · Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$66mo ago