← Whale Watch

Niseko

Predicting since Dec 20241,404 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $21K on Politics markets since Dec 2024.

Right now: $49K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?.

Biggest hit: +$14K on Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$49K80¢58¢-$14K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$10K43¢27¢-$3.7K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$9.0K46¢29¢-$3.3K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.5K91¢99¢+$428
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsYes$3.0K63¢79¢+$784
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K77¢94¢+$463
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$11K60¢13¢-$8.6K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.8K90¢99¢+$174
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.7K86¢92¢+$114
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?PoliticsNo$1.7K86¢84¢-$55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$3.0K32¢16¢-$1.5K
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsYes$1.2K58¢67¢+$185
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.8K46¢32¢-$560
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?CryptoNo$94695¢99¢+$49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$98198¢99¢+$14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$95495¢99¢+$39
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?CryptoNo$89089¢98¢+$91
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.6K73¢45¢-$618
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?NBANo$77786¢99¢+$117
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?CryptoNo$68676¢92¢+$137
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$74074¢82¢+$82
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?CryptoNo$52175¢88¢+$90
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$53382¢50¢-$211
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?CryptoUp$31252¢47¢-$33
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$24889¢99¢+$29
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13969¢99¢+$59
Ethereum Up or Down on July 27?CryptoUp$20050¢47¢-$14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$3.0K60¢0.7¢-$3.0K
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$783¢94¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$21K
Crypto-$15K
Premier League-$6.0K
Tech+$4.4K
NBA+$951
NHL+$130
Culture+$18
Formula 1-$15
Biggest hit
+$14K
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Toughest beat
-$27K
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?$1.2K1h ago
  • Cashed out Up · Ethereum Up or Down on July 26?$8001h ago
  • Bought Up · Ethereum Up or Down on July 27?$1951h ago
  • Bought Up · Ethereum Up or Down on July 27?$01h ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?$731h ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?$151h ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?$111h ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?$521h ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?$121h ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?$21h ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?$221h ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?$301h ago