← Whale Watch

franzr

Predicting since Nov 2025242 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$12.2¢2.1¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4AM ETCryptoDownResolved$840¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$770¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6AM ETCryptoUpResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1534¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 13?FinanceUpResolved$316¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1441¢0.0¢-$14
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?TechYesResolved$1029¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5PM ETCryptoUpResolved$946¢0.0¢-$9
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1352¢0.0¢-$13
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$351.7¢0.0¢-$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$332¢0.0¢-$3
Will Hurry Up Tomorrow by The Weeknd be the top Spotify album for 2025?CultureYesResolved$230.3¢0.0¢-$23
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?TechYesResolved$67.5¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5AM ETCryptoDownResolved$319¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1033¢0.0¢-$10
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?CultureYesResolved$5011¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$32.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will Bad Bunny be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?CultureYesResolved$760.6¢0.0¢-$76
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Champions LeagueOverResolved$360¢0.0¢-$3
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?PoliticsYesResolved$265.9¢0.0¢-$26
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5NBAOverResolved$2150¢0.0¢-$21
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2040¢0.0¢-$20
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?TechYesResolved$1240¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12PM ETCryptoUpResolved$557¢0.0¢-$5
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$440¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$29.7¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$877¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1133¢0.0¢-$11
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$828¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3AM ETCryptoDownResolved$840¢0.0¢-$8
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)CultureYesResolved$100.6¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$333¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$936¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1PM ETCryptoUpResolved$433¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Will BIRDS OF A FEATHER by Billie Eilish be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?CultureYesResolved$220.2¢0.0¢-$22
Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4PM ETCryptoUpResolved$427¢0.0¢-$4
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$33.2¢0.0¢-$3
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 14?FinanceUpResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Champions LeagueOverResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9AM ETCryptoUpResolved$943¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechYesResolved$2004.7¢0.0¢-$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2PM ETCryptoDownResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$413¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1034¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1031¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$231¢0.0¢-$2
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?FinanceDownResolved$753¢0.0¢-$7
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hidebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)CultureNoResolved$53.6¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$440¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$547¢0.0¢-$5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?TechYesResolved$1052¢0.0¢-$10
Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)CultureYesResolved$1117¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$351¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5PM ETCryptoDownResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 6PM ETCryptoUpResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$442¢0.0¢-$4
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$320¢0.0¢-$3
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?TechYesResolved$875¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3PM ETCryptoUpResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$234¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5AM ETCryptoDownResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 8AM ETCryptoUpResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 1PM ETCryptoDownResolved$640¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4PM ETCryptoDownResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4AM ETCryptoUpResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5AM ETCryptoDownResolved$435¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$438¢0.0¢-$4
Kash Patel out by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$420¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 11AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1757¢0.0¢-$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ETCryptoDownResolved$738¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$330¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6AM ETCryptoUpResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 9?FinanceDownResolved$1548¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$228¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$337
Politics+$221
Culture-$202
Crypto-$90
NBA-$21
Finance+$16
Soccer (other)+$11
World Cup+$9
NFL+$3
Champions League-$3
Premier League+$1
Biggest hit
+$162
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Toughest beat
-$59
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?$83mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?$13mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?$13mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?$13mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · US forces enter Iran by April 30?$03mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · US forces enter Iran by April 30?$203mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Kash Patel out by April 30?$43mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?$23mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by April 30?$113mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$43mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?$33mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$73mo ago