gurstag

Predicting since Jan 202668 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	Yes	$1	4.2¢	52¢	+$11
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$3	48¢	38¢	-$1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	37¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	28¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$3	53¢	0.0¢	-$3
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	73¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	33¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Politics	NoResolved	$1	42¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	42¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 10?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	43¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	25¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	15¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	29¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	38¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	21¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	39¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	65¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 10?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	1.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$20	40¢	0.0¢	-$20
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	32¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	39¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the US strike Iran next?Politics	YesResolved	$2	26¢	0.0¢	-$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	62¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	57¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	14¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	37¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	25¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 12?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	24¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 18, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	30¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	47¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	52¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$28

Crypto-$1

Biggest hit

+$17

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$6

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$11mo ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$03mo ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$13mo ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$23mo ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$13mo ago
Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$33mo ago
Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$03mo ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$13mo ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$04mo ago
Sold Yes · Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$04mo ago
Sold Yes · Iran leadership change by March 31?$04mo ago
Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$14mo ago