TRADER420

Predicting since Nov 2024208 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $14K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $7.5K across 2 Economy markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.1K on Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy	Yes	$4.6K	79¢	88¢	+$551
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$3.3K	79¢	88¢	+$339
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy	Yes	$2.9K	78¢	91¢	+$472
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$2.5K	79¢	88¢	+$276
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$558	0.7¢	0.8¢	+$27
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy	Yes	$354	71¢	96¢	+$125
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics	Yes	$201	5.0¢	5.1¢	+$5
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics	Yes	$216	36¢	33¢	-$21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech	Yes	$124	62¢	73¢	+$21
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech	Yes	$139	18¢	12¢	-$51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$69	69¢	83¢	+$14
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$14	14¢	69¢	+$55
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics	No	$35	18¢	19¢	+$2
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech	Yes	$17	7.1¢	9.5¢	+$6
WHOOP IPO before 2027?Tech	No	$17	85¢	98¢	+$3
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics	Yes	$17	9.0¢	10¢	+$2
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	Yes	$18	18¢	18¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics	Yes	$8	6.0¢	7.5¢	+$2
Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy	Yes	$1	0.9¢	3.4¢	+$4
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy	Yes	$1	0.6¢	2.6¢	+$2
Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy	Yes	$2	1.8¢	2.3¢	+$1
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$19	39¢	0.0¢	-$19
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?Politics	YesResolved	$5	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$65	13¢	0.0¢	-$65
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$3	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$200	22¢	0.0¢	-$200
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$123	15¢	0.0¢	-$123
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?Politics	YesResolved	$48	27¢	0.0¢	-$48
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech	YesResolved	$208	12¢	0.0¢	-$208
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics	YesResolved	$338	26¢	0.0¢	-$338
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$713	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$713
Will Trump praise Dana White by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$0	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August?Politics	YesResolved	$2	42¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$7	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$7
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$150	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$150
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$72	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$72
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$0	24¢	0.0¢	-$0
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$323	29¢	0.0¢	-$323
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics	NoResolved	$165	33¢	0.0¢	-$165
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$7	50¢	0.0¢	-$7
Iranian coup attempt before July?Politics	YesResolved	$38	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$38
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$143	10¢	0.0¢	-$143
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$42	14¢	0.0¢	-$42
Will Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics	YesResolved	$2	19¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$14K

Economy+$2.3K

Weather+$1.6K

Crypto-$502

Tech+$233

Finance+$34

Mentions-$14

Culture+$1

Biggest hit

+$4.1K

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Toughest beat

-$2.2K

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$123m ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$11h ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$13h ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$34h ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$24h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$4904h ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$04h ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$14h ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$14h ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$16h ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$16h ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$16h ago