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TRADER420

Predicting since Nov 2024189 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $15K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $14K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.1K on Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$7.2K50¢86¢+$5.1K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$7.3K49¢14¢-$5.1K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$1.0K43¢44¢+$12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsYes$21636¢34¢-$9
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$6969¢81¢+$12
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?TechYes$20022¢2.8¢-$175
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?TechYes$1939¢46¢+$3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$1818¢20¢+$2
WHOOP IPO before 2027?TechNo$1785¢83¢-$1
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?PoliticsYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$6513¢0.0¢-$65
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$12315¢0.0¢-$123
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?PoliticsYesResolved$4827¢0.0¢-$48
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?TechYesResolved$20212¢0.0¢-$202
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?PoliticsYesResolved$33826¢0.0¢-$338
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$7138.0¢0.0¢-$713
Will Trump praise Dana White by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August?PoliticsYesResolved$242¢0.0¢-$2
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$77.0¢0.0¢-$7
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1503.0¢0.0¢-$150
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$729.0¢0.0¢-$72
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$024¢0.0¢-$0
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$32329¢0.0¢-$323
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?PoliticsNoResolved$16533¢0.0¢-$165
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$750¢0.0¢-$7
Iranian coup attempt before July?PoliticsYesResolved$383.6¢0.0¢-$38
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$14310¢0.0¢-$143
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$4214¢0.0¢-$42
Will Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?PoliticsYesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$15K
Weather+$1.6K
Crypto-$502
Economy+$476
Tech+$252
Finance+$34
Mentions-$14
Culture+$1
Biggest hit
+$4.1K
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Toughest beat
-$2.2K
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$105d ago