ctb

Predicting since Jan 202545 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$10	51¢	100¢	+$10
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Politics	NoResolved	$8	78¢	100¢	+$2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics	NoResolved	$7	75¢	100¢	+$3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Politics	NoResolved	$7	65¢	100¢	+$4
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$5	68¢	100¢	+$2
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$6	89¢	100¢	+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5	93¢	100¢	+$0
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	2.1¢	2.6¢	+$0
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$3	54¢	0.0¢	-$3
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiPolitics	YesResolved	$7	67¢	0.0¢	-$7
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$10	54¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$4	13¢	0.0¢	-$4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$43	42¢	0.0¢	-$43
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Politics	YesResolved	$1	17¢	0.0¢	-$1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics	NoResolved	$5	91¢	0.0¢	-$5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Politics	YesResolved	$35	47¢	0.0¢	-$35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Politics	NoResolved	$10	81¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$12	46¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?Politics	YesResolved	$5	83¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$94

Culture+$2

Biggest hit

+$49

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?

Toughest beat

-$29

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?

Recent moves

Bought No · Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$67mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?$57mo ago
Bought No · Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?$58mo ago
Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$58mo ago
Bought Yes · Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$58mo ago
Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$58mo ago
Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$58mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$128mo ago
Sold No · US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$88mo ago
Bought No · Will Russia join the Board of Peace?$88mo ago
Cashed out No · Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$58mo ago
Cashed out No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$108mo ago