kaiye

Predicting since Nov 202440 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Football.Fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto	NoResolved	$1	75¢	100¢	+$0
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	15¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	18¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Politics	YesResolved	$1	17¢	0.0¢	-$1
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $3-5b one day after launch?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $1-3b one day after launch?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during Japan troop visit on October 28?Mentions	YesResolved	$4	72¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?Mentions	NoResolved	$1	30¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Politics	NoResolved	$1	49¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Economy	YesResolved	$1	78¢	0.0¢	-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$19	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$19
OpenSea token market cap (FDV) <$1B one day after launch?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
OpenSea airdrop before July?Crypto	YesResolved	$22	12¢	0.0¢	-$22
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $5-10b one day after launch?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $10-15b one day after launch?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$73

Crypto-$21

Mentions-$5

Tech-$1

Economy-$1

Biggest hit

+$11

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Toughest beat

-$31

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · SBF released from custody in 2025?$16mo ago
Cashed out Down · Trump approval Up or Down this week?$16mo ago
Cashed out No · Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?$26mo ago
Bought Down · Trump approval Up or Down this week?$18mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?$18mo ago
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$18mo ago
Bought No · Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?$28mo ago
Cashed out No · GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$08mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?$28mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$108mo ago
Bought Yes · No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$19mo ago
Sold Yes · Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$19mo ago