lukasnothanks

Predicting since Sep 202552 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.1K on Politics markets since Sep 2025.

Right now: $854 riding on Elon Musk # tweets December 26 - January 2, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Politics	YesResolved	$5	89¢	100¢	+$1
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffseSports	SpiritResolved	$138	81¢	0.0¢	-$138
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnereSports	RED CanidsResolved	$11	54¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during speech on October 14?Mentions	NoResolved	$25	31¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$12	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	11¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$854	95¢	0.0¢	-$854
Will Trump say "Fake news" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?Mentions	YesResolved	$20	28¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$3	7.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Trump say "FBI" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Mentions	YesResolved	$9	46¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Powell say "Tariff" 6+ times during speech on October 14?Mentions	YesResolved	$34	42¢	0.0¢	-$34
Will Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?Economy	NoResolved	$10	16¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3?Culture	NoResolved	$68	21¢	0.0¢	-$68
Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?Economy	NoResolved	$1	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump say "Tariff" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?Mentions	NoResolved	$31	51¢	0.0¢	-$31
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$12	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will Solana reach $270 in September?Crypto	YesResolved	$23	49¢	0.0¢	-$23
Will Trump say "Death penalty" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Mentions	YesResolved	$45	45¢	0.0¢	-$45
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Tech	NoResolved	$36	60¢	0.0¢	-$36
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$83	41¢	0.0¢	-$83
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$80	40¢	0.0¢	-$80

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.1K

Economy-$279

Crypto-$211

eSports-$164

Mentions-$132

Culture-$68

Tech-$22

Biggest hit

+$138

Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?

Toughest beat

-$406

Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$54mo ago
Bought Spirit · Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$1384mo ago
Sold Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1184mo ago
Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$8546mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will no CEO be announced in 2025?$346mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?$606mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3606mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$4006mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$3586mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$277mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$167mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$107mo ago