← Whale Watch

donotthinktwice

Predicting since Jun 2026242 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.7K on Golf markets since Jun 2026.

Right now: $13K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$5.1K on Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$13K73¢82¢+$1.5K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$9.5K86¢86¢-$88
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$6.6K80¢97¢+$1.4K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$1.6K72¢72¢-$1
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$1.1K85¢99¢+$195
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$1.1K92¢99¢+$94
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$91773¢88¢+$185
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$93170¢82¢+$158
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$85496¢97¢+$9
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$42964¢98¢+$231
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$80491¢70¢-$187
Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$24781¢89¢+$24
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?CryptoYes$29931¢27¢-$41
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$39996¢54¢-$176
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$16977¢80¢+$6
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?CryptoYes$15129¢31¢+$9
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$1118.1¢9.5¢+$19
Will Ben Kohles win the 2026 3M Open?GolfNo$11982¢90¢+$11
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$3429¢75¢+$53
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$6961¢77¢+$18
Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?Other sportsYes$6912¢13¢+$6
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$567.0¢9.0¢+$16
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$4646¢69¢+$23
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?CryptoYes$33811¢2.2¢-$271
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$8517¢13¢-$23
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?CryptoYes$18018¢6.2¢-$118
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$6096¢98¢+$1
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$5657¢55¢-$2
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$7464¢45¢-$22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$7019.5¢0.7¢-$653
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$2155¢97¢+$17
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$9413¢4.9¢-$58
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?CryptoYes$11713¢3.5¢-$87
Kash Patel out by July 31?PoliticsYes$1046.0¢1.5¢-$79
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$16127¢4.0¢-$137
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2073¢83¢+$3
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$639.0¢3.1¢-$41
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsNo$2186¢91¢+$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?PoliticsYes$180.8¢0.8¢-$1
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$129.7¢12¢+$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoYes$314.7¢1.8¢-$19
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$1556¢45¢-$3
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$225.3¢2.5¢-$12
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$719¢25¢+$2
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$1339¢26¢-$4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$972.1¢0.1¢-$90
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$1775¢23¢-$12
Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?CryptoYes$184.5¢1.3¢-$12
Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$484¢93¢+$0
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$37.0¢9.4¢+$1
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$51.8¢1.3¢-$1
Will Kurt Kitayama finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 3M Open?GolfNo$356¢56¢+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?CryptoYes$296.1¢0.7¢-$26
Will XRP reach $1.80 in July?CryptoYes$61.2¢0.3¢-$5
Will XRP reach $1.60 in July?CryptoYes$30.9¢0.4¢-$1
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$344.9¢0.1¢-$33
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$413¢0.0¢-$4
Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNoResolved$896.8¢0.0¢-$89
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$17535¢0.0¢-$175
Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfNoResolved$6491¢0.0¢-$64
Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfNoResolved$44589¢0.0¢-$445
Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$417¢0.0¢-$4
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$494.5¢0.0¢-$49
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco GiantsMLBColorado RockiesResolved$542¢0.0¢-$5
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersMLBColorado RockiesResolved$1633¢0.0¢-$16
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$35118¢0.0¢-$351
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfNoResolved$329¢0.0¢-$3
Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfNoResolved$18232¢0.0¢-$182
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechYesResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfYesResolved$312.2¢0.0¢-$31
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore OriolesMLBKansas City RoyalsResolved$340¢0.0¢-$3
UFC Fight Night: Dione Barbosa vs. Anna Melisano (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAAnna MelisanoResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Kansas City Royals vs. New York MetsMLBKansas City RoyalsResolved$641¢0.0¢-$6
Will Ryan Gerard finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfNoResolved$1075¢0.0¢-$10
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfYesResolved$4820¢0.0¢-$48
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$319¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)World CupArgentinaResolved$993.3¢0.0¢-$99
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$177.0¢0.0¢-$17
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$93837¢0.0¢-$938
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfNoResolved$4313¢0.0¢-$43
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1222.3¢0.0¢-$122
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$24254¢0.0¢-$242
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$3857¢0.0¢-$38
Will Cameron Young finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfNoResolved$2654¢0.0¢-$26
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMADamian RzepeckiResolved$33428¢0.0¢-$334
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$617.7¢0.0¢-$61
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechYesResolved$408.0¢0.0¢-$40
Will Russell Henley finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfNoResolved$8080¢0.0¢-$80
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAMitch RamirezResolved$4424¢0.0¢-$44
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$2146¢0.0¢-$21
Will Cameron Young finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfNoResolved$4082¢0.0¢-$40
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$41.3¢0.0¢-$4
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesMLBColorado RockiesResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfYesResolved$98.1¢0.0¢-$9
Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureYesResolved$34121¢0.0¢-$341
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfYesResolved$112.1¢0.0¢-$11
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?World CupNoResolved$1.7K4.4¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$8713¢0.0¢-$87
Athletics vs. Detroit TigersMLBAthleticsResolved$1341¢0.0¢-$13

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Golf-$1.7K
Politics+$1.5K
UFC / MMA-$1.2K
Tech-$1.1K
Formula 1+$823
Crypto-$581
Culture-$574
Economy+$423
World Cup-$337
Tennis-$323
MLB-$191
Other sports+$6
Biggest hit
+$5.1K
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Toughest beat
-$1.3K
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Lando Norris achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$11h ago
  • Bought No · Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$1151h ago
  • Bought No · Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$2601h ago
  • Bought No · Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$4791h ago
  • Bought No · Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$241h ago
  • Bought No · Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$252h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$893h ago
  • Bought No · Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$14h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$1115h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$05h ago
  • Bought No · Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$55h ago
  • Bought No · Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$46h ago