nasos.pap

Predicting since May 2025112 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$10	5.1¢	1.5¢	-$7
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$39	22¢	0.0¢	-$39
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$6	20¢	0.0¢	-$6
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$13	16¢	0.0¢	-$13
Israel confirms it has nuclear weapons in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	15¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?Politics	YesResolved	$5	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?Tech	YesResolved	$19	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$19
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$26	7.3¢	0.0¢	-$26
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$23	4.7¢	0.0¢	-$23
Iran Nuke in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	15¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Politics	NoResolved	$10	9.5¢	0.0¢	-$10
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$10	8.8¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$50	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$5	21¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$1	21¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics	YesResolved	$2	32¢	0.0¢	-$2
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionPolitics	NoResolved	$20	19¢	0.0¢	-$20
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	14¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Tech	YesResolved	$2	18¢	0.0¢	-$2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	62¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump say "N Word" in October?Mentions	YesResolved	$3	27¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$5	25¢	0.0¢	-$5
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	10¢	0.0¢	-$5
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	19¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	43¢	0.0¢	-$2
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$52	12¢	0.0¢	-$52
Will Trump say "Greta" or "Thunberg" in October?Mentions	YesResolved	$5	52¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?Tech	YesResolved	$3	14¢	0.0¢	-$3
Iran nuclear test in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	12¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$398

Tech-$153

Mentions-$29

Basketball (other)-$20

Economy-$5

Biggest hit

+$19

Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?

Toughest beat

-$113

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?$102d ago
Bought No · Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?$107d ago
Bought Yes · AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?$410mo ago
Bought Yes · Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?$210mo ago
Sold Yes · New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$210mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$310mo ago
Bought Yes · Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$511mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$011mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$011mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?$011mo ago
Bought No · Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$511mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Don't Take Tylenol" in October?$1011mo ago