← Whale Watch

tdkoch

Predicting since Dec 202587 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?CultureYes$2232¢31¢-$0
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$25.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 19?CryptoNoResolved$12.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$27.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$62.9¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$55.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?PoliticsNoResolved$39.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$23.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$221¢0.0¢-$2
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$21.8¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$13.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22.9¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$323¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$328¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 6-12?CryptoNoResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$47.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$436¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?Other sportsYesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$22.7¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$21.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$14.4¢0.0¢-$1
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?PoliticsYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$21
Politics-$5
Other sports-$2
Tech-$1
Culture-$0
Biggest hit
+$14
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$3
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?$222h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$25mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$25mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$15mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$15mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$25mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$25mo ago
  • Bought No · No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$16mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?$16mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?$26mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$26mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$26mo ago