ArlenWillard

Predicting since Oct 2025109 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $3.0K riding on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET.

Biggest hit: +$2.0K on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Economy	YesResolved	$1	97¢	100¢	+$0
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Politics	YesResolved	$1	97¢	100¢	+$0
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Boxing	YesResolved	$1	99¢	100¢	+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1.5K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.5K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1.1K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.1K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1.1K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.1K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2.5K	50¢	0.0¢	-$2.5K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Will the price of Solana be less than $190 on October 12?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	98¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$3.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$3.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1.0K	50¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$753

Politics+$0

Culture+$0

Economy+$0

Tech+$0

MLB+$0

Finance+$0

Boxing+$0

Mentions+$0

NFL+$0

Biggest hit

+$2.0K

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$15mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$16mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?$16mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$26mo ago
Bought Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$16mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the New England Patriots make the playoffs?$17mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$17mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$17mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?$17mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$17mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$17mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$17mo ago