← Whale Watch

Ox81De0770551cA28Dc0Dc7fa148406D40BdfC20d4

Predicting since Apr 2026291 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4226¢28¢+$3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$450.8¢0.7¢-$8
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$3597¢100¢+$1
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureYes$1854¢87¢+$11
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$1867¢66¢-$0
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$3027¢8.2¢-$21
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$935¢33¢-$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$1232¢23¢-$4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1020¢17¢-$1
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$892¢98¢+$0
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?CultureNo$571¢100¢+$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$824¢18¢-$2
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?CultureNo$574¢87¢+$1
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$786¢69¢-$1
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$697¢97¢-$0
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$590¢100¢+$0
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$598¢100¢+$0
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBAYes$595¢98¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$520¢21¢+$0
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$592¢97¢+$0
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?CultureYes$598¢98¢-$0
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$479¢87¢+$0
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$588¢88¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$827¢14¢-$4
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$487¢81¢-$0
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$480¢73¢-$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$413¢13¢-$0
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$483¢66¢-$1
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$362¢61¢-$0
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$362¢60¢-$0
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?PoliticsYes$572¢43¢-$2
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$560¢32¢-$2
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$39.0¢7.5¢-$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$521¢8.5¢-$3
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$298¢96¢-$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsYes$474¢37¢-$2
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?PoliticsYes$297¢92¢-$0
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsYes$116¢23¢+$1
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$236¢34¢-$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$230¢24¢-$1
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$240¢38¢-$0
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$432¢13¢-$3
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBANo$56.2¢2.1¢-$3
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?NBAYes$55.0¢1.5¢-$3
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$294¢72¢-$0
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$296¢68¢-$1
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsYes$114¢16¢+$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$123¢24¢+$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$130¢29¢-$0
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$299¢60¢-$1
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$145¢35¢-$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsYes$233¢21¢-$1
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$235¢21¢-$1
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?PoliticsYes$232¢21¢-$1
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsYes$237¢20¢-$1
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$266¢34¢-$1
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?PoliticsYes$360¢20¢-$2
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$150¢50¢-$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?PoliticsNoResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24.4¢0.0¢-$2
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$26.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% by the end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$269¢0.0¢-$2
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?PoliticsYesResolved$438¢0.0¢-$4
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$471¢0.0¢-$4
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in May 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$558¢0.0¢-$5
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$512.4¢0.0¢-$51
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$873¢0.0¢-$8
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?CultureYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?CultureYesResolved$228¢0.0¢-$2
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$28.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?CultureYesResolved$364¢0.0¢-$3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$39.8¢0.0¢-$3
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?PoliticsYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?PoliticsYesResolved$228¢0.0¢-$2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?PoliticsNoResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Kash Patel out by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$365¢0.0¢-$3
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$481¢0.0¢-$4
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?CultureNoResolved$565¢0.0¢-$5
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?World CupNoResolved$22.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?PoliticsNoResolved$1014¢0.0¢-$10
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$1467¢0.0¢-$14
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$26.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in May?MentionsYesResolved$248¢0.0¢-$2
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupYesResolved$486¢0.0¢-$4
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$590¢0.0¢-$5
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?CultureYesResolved$221¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?PoliticsYesResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?PoliticsYesResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
Kash Patel out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$627¢0.0¢-$6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$119.7¢0.0¢-$11
Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?PoliticsNoResolved$41.4¢0.0¢-$4
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?CultureYesResolved$1194¢0.0¢-$11
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?PoliticsYesResolved$28.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$334
Culture-$104
NFL-$78
World Cup-$57
Weather-$32
Mentions+$16
NBA-$7
UFC / MMA-$5
Finance-$4
eSports-$2
Tech-$0
Biggest hit
+$41
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Toughest beat
-$77
Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$54h ago
  • Bought Yes · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3210h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$510h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$510h ago
  • Sold No · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$411h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$911h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$516h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$516h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$516h ago
  • Bought No · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$516h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$81d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$51d ago