← Whale Watch

0x81e7a2ab8E6268009643Da1CAb2368adb0457389-1774921607278

Predicting since Mar 2026386 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?TechNo$6259¢81¢+$23
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechNo$2222¢80¢+$57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$5489¢92¢+$1
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?CryptoNo$4574¢86¢+$7
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$2532¢62¢+$24
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$3382¢89¢+$3
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?TechYes$1715¢30¢+$17
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$4646¢34¢-$12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$4253¢42¢-$9
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?TechYes$1118¢51¢+$19
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?CryptoNo$1858¢85¢+$8
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?TechNo$1463¢98¢+$8
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?CryptoNo$1054¢90¢+$6
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechNo$5675¢19¢-$43
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$57.3¢17¢+$6
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?CryptoYes$833¢40¢+$2
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$1117¢15¢-$1
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?CryptoYes$712¢10¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$763¢47¢-$2
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?CryptoYes$948¢18¢-$5
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$419¢14¢-$1
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?TechYes$418¢13¢-$1
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$516¢8.1¢-$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$24.0¢2.3¢-$1
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?TechYes$628¢6.0¢-$5
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by June 30?TechYesResolved$317¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 12?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$16.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on June 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$632¢0.0¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on June 3?WeatherNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 3?WeatherYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 10?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Germany concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World CupYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 106°F or higher on June 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Hilda Solis advance from the CA-38 primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 4?WeatherNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 4?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?PoliticsYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 3?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on June 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in June?EconomyYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will PPI YoY be between 7.0% and 7.9% in May?EconomyYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Portugal concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World CupYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will SpaceX IPO on June 30, 2026 or later?TechYesResolved$21.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Spain concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World CupYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will PPI YoY be between 6.0% and 6.9% in May?EconomyNoResolved$2166¢0.0¢-$21
Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?TechNoResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Will LaMarcus Aldridge be the next Portland Trail Blazers head coach?NBAYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 10?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 96-97°F on June 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Erik Lutz advance from the CA-38 primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will England concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World CupYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on June 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on June 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Royal Ivey be the next Portland Trail Blazers head coach?NBAYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rally?MentionsNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C or below on June 12?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Damian Lillard be the next Portland Trail Blazers head coach?NBAYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on June 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Netherlands concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World CupYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on June 10?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 3?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" during Tele-Rally?MentionsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 4?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 4?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T?TechYesResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?CultureYesResolved$251¢0.0¢-$2
Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rallies?MentionsNoResolved$522¢0.0¢-$5
Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 4?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will France concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World CupYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on June 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 10?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?FinanceNoResolved$472¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$596
Finance+$136
Crypto+$48
World Cup-$36
Soccer (other)+$25
Politics+$25
Weather+$16
Culture-$13
Economy-$7
Other sports+$3
NHL+$2
Mentions+$1
Biggest hit
+$221
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?
Toughest beat
-$73
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by December 31?$3114d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?$6223d ago
  • Cashed out Databricks · Databricks vs Salesforce - higher valuation on June 30?$32924d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by June 30?$5024d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30?$21424d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30?$1424d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by June 30?$15724d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by June 30?$2624d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by June 30?$10824d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $165B by June 30?$4024d ago
  • Sold No · Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31?$1725d ago
  • Sold No · Anthropic IPO before 2027?$1425d ago