| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | No | $23 | 62¢ | 37¢ | -$10 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 43¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 23¢ | 7.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 17¢ | 2.6¢ | -$8 |
 US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $172 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$172 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Germany by Feburary 1?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Politics | YesResolved | $129 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$129 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Egg" during Iowa speech?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump say "President Xi" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Speech to the Nation?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 0–10%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for France by Feburary 1?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump talk to María Corina Machado in January?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Trump say "Drone" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Mentions | YesResolved | $15 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "Iraq" during Speech to the Nation?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bought Yes · Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$13d ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$163d ago
Sold Yes · Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?$36d ago