← Whale Watch

ArienNasr

Predicting since May 202673 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.1K on Politics markets since May 2026.

Right now: $4.1K riding on US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?.

Biggest hit: +$3.9K on Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.4K26¢15¢-$581
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$97535¢25¢-$291
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$32692¢94¢+$5
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$10711¢0.0¢-$107
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?PoliticsYesResolved$14026¢0.0¢-$140
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$546.7¢0.0¢-$54
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$19974¢0.0¢-$199
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$14529¢0.0¢-$145
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$769.5¢0.0¢-$76
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1561.0¢0.0¢-$156
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?PoliticsYesResolved$51.5¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4.1K44¢0.0¢-$4.1K
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1338¢0.0¢-$13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$70.7¢0.0¢-$7
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?PoliticsYesResolved$88.4¢0.0¢-$8
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? PoliticsYesResolved$345.7¢0.0¢-$34
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?PoliticsYesResolved$23924¢0.0¢-$239

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$3.1K
World Cup-$129
Biggest hit
+$3.9K
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Toughest beat
-$2.7K
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?$117d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?$1017d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?$97d ago
  • Sold No · Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$468d ago
  • Sold No · Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$288d ago
  • Sold No · Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$238d ago
  • Sold No · Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$3211d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$14512d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$3015d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?$30015d ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$215d ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$5215d ago