Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $110 | 11¢ | 42¢ | +$310 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $234 | 78¢ | 52¢ | -$80 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $88 | 35¢ | 44¢ | +$21 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $114 | 57¢ | 34¢ | -$45 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $70 | 47¢ | 41¢ | -$10 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $26 | 5.1¢ | 8.3¢ | +$16 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $37 | 1.2¢ | 0.8¢ | -$14 |
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $60 | 1.5¢ | 0.5¢ | -$38 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $15 | 31¢ | 44¢ | +$6 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.0¢ | 12¢ | +$4 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $8 | 2.7¢ | 1.7¢ | -$3 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $150 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $206 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$206 |
ETH flipped in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $511 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$511 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $37 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $12 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $63 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?Crypto | NoResolved | $15 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin above $94,000 on May 2?Crypto | NoResolved | $14 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will SBF launch a coin by September 30?Crypto | YesResolved | $19 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $795 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$795 |
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $237 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$237 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $133 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$133 |
Will Hyperliquid's HIP-3 upgrade go live on mainnet by December 31?Crypto | NoResolved | $73 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
Fed rate cut by December meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $748 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$748 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?Crypto | YesResolved | $700 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$700 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $551 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$551 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $3.1K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.1K |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $972 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$972 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1.8K | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $598 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$598 |