Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $17K | 90¢ | 80¢ | -$1.9K |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $9.9K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$130 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $6.9K | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$310 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $5.8K | 92¢ | 81¢ | -$723 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $4.7K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$52 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $4.2K | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$79 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $3.8K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$31 |
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $2.9K | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$171 |
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $2.9K | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$62 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $2.7K | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $2.4K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$48 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $2.5K | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$22 |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $2.3K | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$18 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $2.3K | 75¢ | 72¢ | -$103 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $1.8K | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$27 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Finance | No | $1.7K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$41 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $1.5K | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$11 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $1.4K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$13 |
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $1.4K | 87¢ | 85¢ | -$31 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Tech | No | $1.3K | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$16 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1.2K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$15 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $1.2K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$29 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | No | $1.1K | 89¢ | 82¢ | -$84 |
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech | No | $844 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$26 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $706 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$10 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $705 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $877 | 86¢ | 69¢ | -$174 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $922 | 66¢ | 47¢ | -$276 |
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Tech | No | $623 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$7 |
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $583 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$6 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $548 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$20 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $520 | 74¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $480 | 69¢ | 67¢ | -$19 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $951 | 63¢ | 30¢ | -$507 |
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Tech | No | $404 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $530 | 82¢ | 56¢ | -$167 |
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?Soccer (other) | No | $325 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Tech | No | $292 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $275 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $713 | 17¢ | 6.5¢ | -$439 |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Bundesliga | Yes | $263 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$2 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Soccer (other) | Yes | $263 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$2 |
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $210 | 82¢ | 96¢ | +$36 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $287 | 51¢ | 43¢ | -$45 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League | Yes | $220 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$10 |
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $222 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $361 | 66¢ | 39¢ | -$147 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $209 | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?Tech | No | $202 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | No | $180 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $182 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $202 | 91¢ | 81¢ | -$24 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | No | $138 | 95¢ | 90¢ | -$7 |
Will Trump resign before 2027?Politics | No | $123 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions League | Yes | $104 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$4 |
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $93 | 62¢ | 66¢ | +$6 |
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | No | $75 | 75¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $75 | 93¢ | 91¢ | -$2 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $113 | 49¢ | 32¢ | -$40 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $298 | 29¢ | 7.0¢ | -$227 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League | Yes | $67 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$3 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Bundesliga | No | $47 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Tech | Yes | $29 | 73¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Politics | Yes | $114 | 93¢ | 10¢ | -$101 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $6 | 59¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Politics | Yes | $37 | 77¢ | 9.0¢ | -$32 |
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?Tech | SpaceX | $1 | 70¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |