 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Tech | No | $2.4K | 44¢ | 70¢ | +$1.5K |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $3.3K | 75¢ | 85¢ | +$406 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 15¢ | 22¢ | +$650 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 64¢ | 97¢ | +$674 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1.7K | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$221 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?Tech | No | $1.4K | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$165 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $770 | 61¢ | 80¢ | +$234 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?Tech | No | $928 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$24 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $1.0K | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$435 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $220B by September 30?Finance | No | $490 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$16 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $400 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$20 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $345 | 69¢ | 70¢ | +$3 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $385 | 77¢ | 66¢ | -$58 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Tech | No | $287 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$30 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Tech | No | $281 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$32 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $170B by September 30?Finance | No | $240 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$13 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $270B by September 30?Finance | No | $226 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | No | $252 | 63¢ | 57¢ | -$22 |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?Tech | No | $105 | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$108 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $245B by September 30?Finance | No | $170 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Tech | No | $68 | 14¢ | 20¢ | +$27 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?Tech | No | $52 | 26¢ | 40¢ | +$28 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 49¢ | 52¢ | +$2 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Tech | No | $5 | 0.8¢ | 1.4¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Trump say the "N word" in November?Mentions | YesResolved | $114 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
 Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $292 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$292 |
 Will Trump say "Fake news" during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $170 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
| Will Trump say "India" or "Pakistan" during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Mentions | NoResolved | $284 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$284 |
 Will DoorDash report between 825 million and 850 million total orders in Q4 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $350 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$350 |
| Will DoorDash report less than 800 million total orders in Q4 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $136 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$136 |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $295 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$295 |
 Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Politics | YesResolved | $200 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
 Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $106 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
| Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will anyone say "YouTube Shorts" during the Q2 2025 Google earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $51 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $407 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$407 |
 Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Politics | YesResolved | $950 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$950 |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will DoorDash report between 850 million and 875 million total orders in Q4 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $245 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$245 |
 LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)eSports | Bilibili GamingResolved | $80 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $52 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
 Will Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | NoResolved | $80 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
 Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $49 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)eSports | CTBC Flying OysterResolved | $47 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 Will Trump say "Trump" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Tech | NoResolved | $804 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$804 |
 Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will DoorDash report between 800 million and 825 million total orders in Q4 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $145 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$145 |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?Crypto | NoResolved | $242 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$242 |
 MicroStrategy purchases >4000 BTC September 2-8?Crypto | NoResolved | $339 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$339 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?Mentions | YesResolved | $172 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$172 |
Sold No · Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?$1.7K1d ago