← Whale Watch

MrNoItAll

Predicting since Jan 2026348 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $43K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $77K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.2K on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$55K97¢99¢+$995
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$23K96¢99¢+$719
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$22K94¢96¢+$389
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$16K97¢97¢+$67
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsNo$16K98¢99¢+$176
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$15K90¢90¢-$126
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$12K93¢96¢+$361
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$8.5K88¢93¢+$434
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$8.2K87¢95¢+$736
Iran leadership change by August 31?PoliticsNo$7.5K93¢95¢+$122
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsNo$5.2K95¢97¢+$58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsYes$5.2K99¢100¢+$25
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.1K98¢99¢+$82
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.0K97¢97¢+$2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?PoliticsNo$4.3K93¢99¢+$300
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$4.4K100¢100¢+$7
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$4.3K100¢100¢+$14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.1K97¢99¢+$116
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.9K99¢99¢+$17
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.5K90¢96¢+$247
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.8K98¢99¢+$36
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.6K91¢96¢+$143
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$2.6K94¢94¢-$2
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsNo$2.3K94¢94¢-$10
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$2.2K87¢89¢+$47
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.9K95¢95¢-$10
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.9K99¢99¢-$0
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.6K82¢93¢+$221
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K98¢99¢+$15
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K96¢94¢-$29
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K91¢92¢+$7
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.0K63¢74¢+$177
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.6K37¢26¢-$487
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$1.1K98¢99¢+$15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsYes$1.1K96¢97¢+$15
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.1K98¢99¢+$15
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K82¢82¢+$6
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$1.0K96¢97¢+$12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$99175¢80¢+$66
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?PoliticsNo$96197¢97¢+$6
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$94599¢100¢+$10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 31?PoliticsNo$94298¢99¢+$7
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$83165¢73¢+$90
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$92096¢94¢-$16
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in July 2026?PoliticsNo$78094¢98¢+$31
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechNo$79191¢90¢-$13
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$73556¢59¢+$31
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?PoliticsNo$64183¢98¢+$115
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in July?PoliticsNo$71797¢98¢+$10
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$72099¢99¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?PoliticsNo$42775¢91¢+$86
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$50679¢80¢+$3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$46696¢97¢+$5
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?TechNo$46181¢81¢-$3
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in July 2026?PoliticsNo$44898¢100¢+$7
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?PoliticsNo$51184¢75¢-$58
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?PoliticsNo$34669¢83¢+$70
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?PoliticsNo$40287¢89¢+$9
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?PoliticsNo$42290¢85¢-$26
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?CultureNo$34783¢87¢+$15
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?PoliticsNo$358100¢100¢+$1
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$31084¢94¢+$38
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?PoliticsNo$32485¢91¢+$21
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$32487¢81¢-$24
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in July?PoliticsNo$26994¢99¢+$14
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$27491¢90¢-$2
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$26498¢99¢+$1
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$24192¢95¢+$7
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by August 31?PoliticsNo$24298¢99¢+$3
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?PoliticsNo$24280¢74¢-$20
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18895¢98¢+$7
Netanyahu out by July 31?PoliticsNo$18899¢100¢+$2
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?PoliticsNo$16690¢95¢+$8
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?PoliticsNo$14978¢85¢+$12
Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechNo$15092¢95¢+$6
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$12581¢85¢+$6
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?PoliticsNo$30089¢37¢-$175
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$4636¢89¢+$67
Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaPoliticsNothing$10888¢92¢+$4
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$9682¢95¢+$15
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?PoliticsNo$9886¢93¢+$7
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 23?PoliticsNo$8999¢99¢+$0
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$8194¢95¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?PoliticsNo$7376¢78¢+$1
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?PoliticsNo$6088¢91¢+$2
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?PoliticsNo$2577¢71¢-$2
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$1251¢77¢+$6
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsNo$1691¢98¢+$1
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?PoliticsNo$1286¢88¢+$0
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?PoliticsNo$771¢81¢+$1
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$49694¢1.3¢-$489
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢99¢+$0
Will Russell T. Vought be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?PoliticsYes$00.3¢5.0¢+$3
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?PoliticsYes$00.3¢1.0¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in July 2026?PoliticsNo$199¢99¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$43K
World Cup+$380
Culture+$373
NFL+$126
UFC / MMA-$62
Other+$51
Mentions+$33
Olympics+$13
Tech-$10
eSports+$4
Biggest hit
+$4.2K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$2.7K
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by August 31?$518m ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$518m ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by December 31?$820m ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$2.3K23m ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$1.6K24m ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$14324m ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$2.0K25m ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?$2743m ago
  • Sold No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1044m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$991h ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?$221h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$81h ago