← Whale Watch
0x844AC1AEe4dC203080e63e650E043A8aD8145f53-1765558169086
Up $1.5K on Tech markets since Dec 2025.
Right now: $774 across 2 Tech markets.
Biggest hit: +$1.1K on Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech | NoResolved | $26 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $87 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
| Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $38 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $341 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$341 |
 Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech | NoResolved | $65 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $66 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $708 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$708 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Tech+$1.5K
Politics-$558
Crypto+$63
Finance-$57
Culture-$1
Biggest hit
+$1.1K
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Toughest beat
-$663
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
Recent moves
Sold Yes · Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$26628d ago- Sold Yes · Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?$181mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?$61mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?$1651mo ago
- Bought No · Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$231mo ago
- Bought No · Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$271mo ago
Sold No · Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$111mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$101mo ago- Cashed out No · Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?$2001mo ago
- Sold No · Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$181mo ago
- Bought No · Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$211mo ago
- Bought No · Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$381mo ago