← Whale Watch

cripes3

Predicting since Nov 20252,651 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $66K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $24K across 4 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$5.5K52¢80¢+$2.9K
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.8K74¢99¢+$1.3K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$4.4K89¢95¢+$320
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechNo$5.5K73¢54¢-$1.5K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.6K72¢80¢+$365
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$2.6K51¢69¢+$915
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?TechNo$3.3K94¢91¢-$95
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?Crypto$60$3.1K90¢78¢-$399
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1.7K57¢80¢+$677
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?CryptoNo$4.9K81¢36¢-$2.7K
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?TechNo$2.8K81¢56¢-$824
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K61¢94¢+$660
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? CryptoNo$1.2K65¢87¢+$408
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K59¢80¢+$420
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$1.3K83¢94¢+$170
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.3K89¢91¢+$22
Tread FDV above $200M one day after launchCryptoNo$1.3K91¢83¢-$109
Tread FDV above $300M one day after launchCryptoNo$1.4K93¢72¢-$314
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?Soccer (other)No$49954¢99¢+$415
Tread FDV above $300M one day after launchCryptoYes$1845.8¢28¢+$710
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$100087¢69¢-$216
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?CryptoNo$75995¢88¢-$58
Will Mohamed Salah join Fenerbahce?Soccer (other)No$53276¢92¢+$112
Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoYes$46266¢84¢+$126
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launchCryptoYes$81463¢42¢-$275
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?CryptoNo$55559¢49¢-$99
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?FinanceNo$43896¢99¢+$13
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI?TechNo$37293¢99¢+$25
Will Hurupay launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$30075¢95¢+$78
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechYes$34517¢18¢+$20
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$92484¢33¢-$567
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoYes$30060¢72¢+$58
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other)Yes$35391¢84¢-$29
Tread FDV above $200M one day after launchCryptoYes$19311¢17¢+$111
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?CryptoYes$45090¢61¢-$148
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$28896¢99¢+$9
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?CryptoNo$29794¢92¢-$3
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?TechNo$28696¢92¢-$11
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launchCryptoYes$33440¢30¢-$88
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch?CryptoNo$23097¢99¢+$6
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$21152¢56¢+$18
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launchCryptoNo$20468¢71¢+$7
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$34085¢52¢-$134
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?PoliticsNo$18191¢99¢+$16
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?EconomyNo$20094¢92¢-$4
Will Symbiotic launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$21563¢57¢-$20
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $725B by July 31?TechNo$16297¢99¢+$3
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?PoliticsNo$15890¢93¢+$5
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$17643¢40¢-$14
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?EconomyNo$18693¢79¢-$28
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?EconomyNo$14697¢95¢-$4
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13598¢97¢-$0
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by July 31?FinanceNo$12794¢99¢+$6
Will Symbiotic launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoYes$14749¢43¢-$18
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?PoliticsYes$9414¢18¢+$29
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$36259¢19¢-$245
Tread FDV above $80M one day after launchCryptoYes$13836¢31¢-$21
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250 by July 31?FinanceNo$10796¢99¢+$4
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?FinanceYes$9790¢100¢+$11
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?TechNo$9393¢99¢+$7
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?CryptoNo$9596¢95¢-$1
Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$9024¢23¢-$4
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$6725¢29¢+$11
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$9168¢56¢-$15
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$9718¢14¢-$24
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$7639¢35¢-$8
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$6158¢65¢+$7
GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launchCryptoNo$6897¢98¢+$0
Will Falcons make a roster change before August?eSportsNo$5997¢99¢+$1
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$4062¢91¢+$19
Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$5692¢93¢+$1
GMGN FDV above $400M one day after launchCryptoYes$5625¢24¢-$2
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$2959¢94¢+$17
Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?CryptoNo$4685¢82¢-$2
Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$7144¢27¢-$28
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?PoliticsNo$4090¢94¢+$2
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechNo$4283¢82¢-$1
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYes$3613¢14¢+$1
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?TechYes$3857¢56¢-$1
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.60 in July?FinanceNo$3397¢100¢+$1
GMGN FDV above $800M one day after launchCryptoNo$4089¢71¢-$8
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$3157¢58¢+$1
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Soccer (other)No$4068¢53¢-$9
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$1514¢27¢+$14
GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launchCryptoNo$4590¢58¢-$16
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2799¢99¢+$0
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$3050¢44¢-$4
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2064¢82¢+$6
GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launchCryptoYes$58.0¢42¢+$21
Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$1118¢38¢+$12
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Soccer (other)Yes$1724¢30¢+$4
GMGN FDV above $600M one day after launchCryptoNo$2386¢71¢-$4
GMGN FDV above $1B one day after launchCryptoYes$25.0¢41¢+$16
GMGN FDV above $500M one day after launchCryptoYes$718¢43¢+$10
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in July?FinanceNo$1697¢99¢+$0
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?FinanceYes$90.6¢1.1¢+$7
Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1014¢23¢+$6
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in July?FinanceYes$20.1¢0.8¢+$13
GMGN FDV above $700M one day after launchCryptoNo$1588¢83¢-$1
Tread FDV above $400M one day after launchCryptoYes$112.6¢3.0¢+$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$66K
World Cup-$43K
La Liga-$18K
College Hoops-$17K
NBA-$7.9K
Tech-$5.0K
Crypto-$4.2K
eSports-$3.9K
Tennis-$3.3K
Bundesliga-$1.9K
Finance-$1.9K
Economy-$890
Biggest hit
+$915
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Toughest beat
-$2.9K
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch$95h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by July 31?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by July 31?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by July 31?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by July 31?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by July 31?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by July 31?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by July 31?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by July 31?$014h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?$92019h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in July?$22d ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$2392d ago