← Whale Watch

Ondra

Predicting since Aug 20232,871 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $65K on Politics markets since Aug 2023.

Right now: $6.1K across 7 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1632.0¢2.4¢+$31
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$1478.0¢6.5¢-$27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsYes$9040¢52¢+$27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsNo$8668¢73¢+$6
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$878.8¢8.5¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$3919¢31¢+$26
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$925.3¢3.7¢-$28
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsYes$4615¢17¢+$5
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?PoliticsYes$837.4¢4.5¢-$33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$4382¢91¢+$5
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsNo$4296¢98¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$2310¢19¢+$19
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsNo$3274¢100¢+$11
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$577.6¢5.5¢-$16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$4375¢70¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsNo$3998¢100¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?PoliticsNo$4088¢86¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$2981¢99¢+$6
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$3595¢93¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsNo$3687¢84¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$3298¢98¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$2725¢30¢+$5
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$3199¢99¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$2688¢100¢+$4
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$235.7¢7.0¢+$5
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$566.0¢2.6¢-$31
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$2399¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$2591¢81¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsNo$3067¢49¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsNo$2199¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsNo$2199¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsYes$303.7¢2.5¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$2282¢69¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$2311¢8.9¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$54.5¢15¢+$11
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$1699¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsYes$1527¢28¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?PoliticsNo$1487¢89¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1214¢16¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1289¢92¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsYes$1013¢13¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$988¢99¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$234.3¢1.8¢-$13
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$986¢88¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsYes$106.7¢5.9¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$67.4¢11¢+$3
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$997¢98¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$995¢95¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$884¢95¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?PoliticsYes$104.5¢3.9¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$895¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$684¢98¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$789¢85¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$791¢84¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$66.3¢7.1¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$699¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$699¢99¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$698¢97¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsYes$42.9¢3.8¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$587¢87¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$699¢85¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢99¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢99¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢99¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢99¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢99¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢99¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢99¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢98¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$597¢98¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$598¢97¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$595¢96¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢96¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$592¢94¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢93¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$598¢89¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$54.6¢4.4¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$313¢15¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$398¢98¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$210¢13¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$34.3¢3.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 9?WeatherYesResolved$4018¢0.0¢-$40
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1122.9¢0.0¢-$112
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 10?WeatherYesResolved$1736¢0.0¢-$17
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$5771.8¢0.0¢-$577
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 22?WeatherYesResolved$201.5¢0.0¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 102°F or higher on June 23?WeatherYesResolved$200.4¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$53626¢0.0¢-$536
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$200.6¢0.0¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 23?WeatherYesResolved$2625¢0.0¢-$26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3318.2¢0.0¢-$331
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$435¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1080.1¢0.0¢-$108

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$65K
Weather-$1.3K
Culture-$237
Crypto+$6
Tech-$4
Economy-$2
Biggest hit
+$1.6K
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Toughest beat
-$580
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$21m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$23m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$03m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$215m ago
  • Sold No · Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$716m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$620m ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$1022m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$329m ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$629m ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$830m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$3030m ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$4130m ago