← Whale Watch

Gusarich

Predicting since Nov 2024151 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.3K on Tech markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $1.6K riding on Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?TechYes$65065¢33¢-$317
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$30021¢8.0¢-$186
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$503.5¢2.9¢-$8
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$10018¢5.5¢-$69
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$50057¢0.0¢-$500
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)World CupNetherlandsResolved$1009.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$15028¢0.0¢-$150
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Formula 1YesResolved$159.6¢0.0¢-$15
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on October 31?TechYesResolved$307.5¢0.0¢-$30
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$14063¢0.0¢-$140
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?Formula 1YesResolved$14018¢0.0¢-$140
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?TechYesResolved$65042¢0.0¢-$650
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$507.3¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$10046¢0.0¢-$100
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Formula 1YesResolved$45.3¢0.0¢-$4
Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?TechYesResolved$69615¢0.0¢-$696
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?TechYesResolved$1.6K73¢0.0¢-$1.6K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$200.9¢0.0¢-$20
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?Formula 1YesResolved$4539¢0.0¢-$45
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?Formula 1YesResolved$258.0¢0.0¢-$25
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?TechYesResolved$205.8¢0.0¢-$20
Will GPT-5 be released on August 12?TechYesResolved$601.6¢0.0¢-$60
Will Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?Formula 1YesResolved$22541¢0.0¢-$225
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?TechYesResolved$2288.8¢0.0¢-$228
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$3025¢0.0¢-$30
Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on November 21?WeatherYesResolved$12172¢0.0¢-$121
Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$50.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10038¢0.0¢-$100
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$27148¢0.0¢-$271
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?TechYesResolved$52.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?Formula 1YesResolved$101.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$4015¢0.0¢-$40
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?TechYesResolved$2013¢0.0¢-$20
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$52.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?Formula 1NoResolved$40080¢0.0¢-$400
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?TechYesResolved$204.5¢0.0¢-$20
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10018¢0.0¢-$100
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?Formula 1YesResolved$253.7¢0.0¢-$25
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?TechYesResolved$203.2¢0.0¢-$20
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Formula 1YesResolved$814¢0.0¢-$8
Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?WeatherYesResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?TechYesResolved$4015¢0.0¢-$40
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$150.4¢0.0¢-$15
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?TechYesResolved$30046¢0.0¢-$300
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1YesResolved$100.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$85.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will GPT-5 be released on August 14?TechYesResolved$601.6¢0.0¢-$60
Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$1.3K
Politics+$1.2K
Formula 1-$776
eSports+$471
Culture-$239
Weather-$151
Crypto-$149
Economy-$100
World Cup-$100
Biggest hit
+$961
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Toughest beat
-$1.0K
Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1005d ago
  • Cashed out No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?$10025d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$15328d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$10228d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$10228d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2891mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$51mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$261mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1031mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 16-22?$1.1K1mo ago
  • Bought Down · Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$51mo ago
  • Bought Down · Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$51mo ago