OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Tech | Yes | $650 | 65¢ | 33¢ | -$317 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $300 | 21¢ | 8.0¢ | -$186 |
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $50 | 3.5¢ | 2.9¢ | -$8 |
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $100 | 18¢ | 5.5¢ | -$69 |
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $500 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)World Cup | NetherlandsResolved | $100 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $150 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $15 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | NoResolved | $140 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$140 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $140 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$140 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $650 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$650 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $50 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $100 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $4 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $696 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$696 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech | YesResolved | $1.6K | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $45 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $25 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 12?Tech | YesResolved | $60 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $225 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$225 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $228 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$228 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $30 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on November 21?Weather | YesResolved | $121 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $100 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | NoResolved | $271 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$271 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $10 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $40 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?Formula 1 | NoResolved | $400 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $100 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $25 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $8 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $15 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $300 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $10 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $8 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 14?Tech | YesResolved | $60 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |