B2twarminius

Predicting since Jun 202598 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.7K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $3.2K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$9.7K on US military action against Iran by Saturday?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$86	18¢	21¢	+$11
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$20	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Politics	NoResolved	$10	10¢	0.0¢	-$10
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1.0K	86¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics	YesResolved	$3	20¢	0.0¢	-$3
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2.2K	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$2.2K
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Politics	YesResolved	$20	25¢	0.0¢	-$20
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$50	15¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$353	16¢	0.0¢	-$353
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	15¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	62¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Byron Donalds finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$30	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$30
Israel strikes Iran by October 3?Politics	YesResolved	$10	1.8¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$52	61¢	0.0¢	-$52
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$390	28¢	0.0¢	-$390
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$10	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics	YesResolved	$5	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 15–20%?Politics	YesResolved	$19	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$19
Russia coup attempt in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$10	4.4¢	0.0¢	-$10
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	11¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Jay Collins win the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics	YesResolved	$3	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	37¢	0.0¢	-$10
Was Kanye hacked?Crypto	YesResolved	$5	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?Politics	YesResolved	$1	38¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics	YesResolved	$2	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$23	95¢	0.0¢	-$23
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Politics	NoResolved	$2	43¢	0.0¢	-$2
US strikes Yemen by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?Politics	YesResolved	$20	21¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$190	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$190
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$4	15¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$10	8.9¢	0.0¢	-$10
Israeli parliament dissolved by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$24	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$24
Tucker Carlson confirmed CIA operative by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$113	5.2¢	0.0¢	-$113
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$80	11¢	0.0¢	-$80
Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	21¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics	YesResolved	$3	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$21	68¢	0.0¢	-$21
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics	YesResolved	$5	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.7K

Crypto-$5

Weather-$1

Biggest hit

+$9.7K

US military action against Iran by Saturday?

Toughest beat

-$3.6K

Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$8929d ago
Sold Yes · Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 20–25%?$8829d ago
Sold Yes · Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 10–15%?$01mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 15–20%?$31mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 20–25%?$361mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 15–20%?$11mo ago
Sold No · Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?$7521mo ago
Bought Yes · Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Governor primary?$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Jay Collins win the Florida Republican Governor primary?$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 10–15%?$11mo ago
Bought No · Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?$611mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Jay Collins win the Florida Republican Governor primary?$21mo ago