21probs

Predicting since Jul 202530 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	NoResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	11¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump say "Apple" during the Purple Heart ceremony on August 7?Mentions	YesResolved	$1	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the US strike Iran next?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4?Weather	YesResolved	$1	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Politics	YesResolved	$32	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$32
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?Culture	YesResolved	$1	18¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the next MrBeast video be between 20 and 25 min?Culture	YesResolved	$1	33¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will GPT-5 be released on August 11?Tech	YesResolved	$2	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will GPT-5 be released on August 12?Tech	YesResolved	$1	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will GPT-5 be released on August 10?Tech	YesResolved	$1	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$3	44¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	11¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 85-86°F on August 3?Weather	YesResolved	$1	28¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?Politics	YesResolved	$2	6.4¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will GPT-5 be released on August 9?Tech	YesResolved	$1	2.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Politics	NoResolved	$1	16¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 4?Weather	YesResolved	$1	45¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?Culture	YesResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Tech	YesResolved	$2	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Tech	YesResolved	$1	1.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 25+ times during his next video?Mentions	YesResolved	$1	33¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4?Weather	YesResolved	$1	19¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$29

Tech-$9

Weather-$4

Mentions-$2

Culture+$1

Biggest hit

+$14

Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?

Toughest beat

-$1

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$34mo ago
Bought No · Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?$14mo ago
Bought No · Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?$14mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the US strike Iran next?$14mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?$56mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$111mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$111mo ago
Bought No · Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$111mo ago
Bought Yes · Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?$111mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Apple" during the Purple Heart ceremony on August 7?$111mo ago
Bought Yes · Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?$111mo ago
Bought Yes · Will GPT-5 be released on August 11?$111mo ago