 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $8.5K | 64¢ | 84¢ | +$2.5K |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | No | $17K | 63¢ | 41¢ | -$5.9K |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $10K | 67¢ | 69¢ | +$302 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $6.0K | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$1.1K |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$956 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.4K | 69¢ | 84¢ | +$504 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 51¢ | 71¢ | +$740 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 64¢ | 89¢ | +$759 |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $2.2K | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$369 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.8K | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$289 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 34¢ | 62¢ | +$814 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $264 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$23 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?Politics | No | $174 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $383 | 11¢ | 4.5¢ | -$231 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $79 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$16 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?Politics | No | $64 | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$17 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | No | $49 | 41¢ | 55¢ | +$16 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Politics | No | $57 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $58 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?Politics | No | $22 | 44¢ | 80¢ | +$18 |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?Politics | Yes | $5 | 6.0¢ | 18¢ | +$10 |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.1¢ | 2.6¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3.4K | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.4K |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Politics | NoResolved | $1.2K | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $1.2K | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 US bank failure by July 31?Economy | NoResolved | $919 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$919 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $128 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$128 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Politics | NoResolved | $1.2K | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $189 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$189 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?Politics | NoResolved | $48 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Politics | NoResolved | $584 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$584 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $3.4K | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.4K |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $488 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$488 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $8.4K | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.4K |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $909 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$909 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Politics | NoResolved | $864 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$864 |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $842 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$842 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $577 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$577 |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $3.2K | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.2K |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $1.7K | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $250 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$250 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Politics | NoResolved | $2.3K | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.3K |
| Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $569 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$569 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?Politics | NoResolved | $397 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$397 |