Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | +$1 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | +$1 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | +$1 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | +$0 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.8¢ | -$1 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 4.1¢ | 2.8¢ | -$2 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $50 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $12 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $9 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Mavericks vs. CelticsNBA | MavericksResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $9 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $30 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Trail Blazers vs. RocketsNBA | Trail BlazersResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $0 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $6 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $100 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $8 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $8 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $16 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $8 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $32 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |