← Whale Watch

RealDonaldMusk

Predicting since Jan 2025196 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$53.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$1105.5¢0.0¢-$110
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$305.2¢0.0¢-$30
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$1206.0¢0.0¢-$120
Will Elon tweet 350–364 times August 8–August 15?PoliticsYesResolved$255.0¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon tweet 320–334 times August 8–August 15?PoliticsYesResolved$357.0¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$402.0¢0.0¢-$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$534¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?PoliticsYesResolved$53.6¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$529¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$101.9¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?PoliticsNoResolved$10022¢0.0¢-$100
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?PoliticsYesResolved$5911¢0.0¢-$59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$529¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon tweet between 340 and 359 times September 5–12?PoliticsYesResolved$504.0¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon tweet 335–349 times August 8–August 15?PoliticsYesResolved$357.0¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon tweet 525–549 times August 8–August 15?PoliticsYesResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?EconomyYesResolved$201.9¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon tweet 305–319 times August 8–August 15?PoliticsYesResolved$357.0¢0.0¢-$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2533¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon tweet 285–299 times August 1–August 8?PoliticsYesResolved$404.0¢0.0¢-$40
Will Elon tweet 245–259 times August 8–August 15?PoliticsYesResolved$357.0¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon tweet 275–289 times August 8–August 15?PoliticsYesResolved$97.0¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$536¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?PoliticsYesResolved$154.3¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$303.3¢0.0¢-$30
Will Elon tweet 405–419 times August 1–August 8?PoliticsYesResolved$575.7¢0.0¢-$57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$527¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2530¢0.0¢-$25

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture+$469
Politics-$277
Other-$264
Crypto+$140
Economy-$20
Tech-$13
NBA+$4
Weather+$2
Biggest hit
+$380
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?
Toughest beat
-$564
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$1.0K9d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$100025d ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$7951mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$51mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$271mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$51mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$51mo ago
  • Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$81mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$51mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$51mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$51mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$51mo ago