← Whale Watch

smith-dom

Predicting since May 2026115 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$1076¢76¢+$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?CultureYes$39.2¢8.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsYes$22.6¢1.8¢-$1
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$23.5¢2.1¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 25?CryptoYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?EconomyYesResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 15?CryptoYesResolved$210¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?World CupYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Will Claude Code Commits be between 600.0k and 650.0k on June 30?TechYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?World CupYesResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 3?WeatherNoResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?PoliticsYesResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?World CupYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$351¢0.0¢-$3
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?World CupYesResolved$13.6¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?World CupYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Claude Code Commits be between 550.0k and 600.0k on June 30?TechYesResolved$12.8¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?World CupYesResolved$14.8¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$210¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$12.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?World CupYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$16.9¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden?World CupYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?World CupYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?CryptoNoResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?PoliticsYesResolved$772¢0.0¢-$7
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?World CupYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?World CupYesResolved$14.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$29.7¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 10?CryptoNoResolved$12.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?World CupNoResolved$73.0¢0.0¢-$7
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?TechYesResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?World CupYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12PM ETCryptoUpResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on July 3?WeatherYesResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump visit China by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 3?WeatherNoResolved$825¢0.0¢-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$81
Tech+$69
Weather-$22
Crypto-$17
World Cup+$15
Economy-$14
Mentions-$7
Culture-$4
Biggest hit
+$36
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Toughest beat
-$6
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$456m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$21h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$102h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$69h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$1522h ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$122h ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$222h ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$122h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?$323h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 25, 2026?$01d ago
  • Sold No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$01d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$11d ago