 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $50 | 65¢ | 71¢ | +$4 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $50 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $44 | 82¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $50 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | No | $49 | 65¢ | 57¢ | -$6 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 11¢ | 18¢ | +$16 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $32 | 5.9¢ | 7.4¢ | +$9 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $37 | 64¢ | 64¢ | -$0 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 90¢ | 82¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $28 | 28¢ | 26¢ | -$2 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $23 | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 2.7¢ | 7.0¢ | +$12 |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $21 | 70¢ | 64¢ | -$2 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | No | $14 | 53¢ | 72¢ | +$5 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $5 | 8.7¢ | 33¢ | +$14 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 53¢ | 77¢ | +$6 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 50¢ | 78¢ | +$6 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $7 | 10¢ | 23¢ | +$8 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $16 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $12 | 48¢ | 57¢ | +$2 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $14 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
 Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $22 | 1.8¢ | 1.1¢ | -$9 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 75¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 51¢ | 80¢ | +$4 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $12 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech | No | $1 | 1.5¢ | 13¢ | +$10 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 17¢ | 30¢ | +$4 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 42¢ | +$7 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 76¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$3 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 1.7¢ | +$7 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 46¢ | 11¢ | -$23 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $8 | 64¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 53¢ | 14¢ | -$21 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $4 | 10¢ | 18¢ | +$3 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 4.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$21 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 22¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.0¢ | 5.5¢ | +$5 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 8.7¢ | 19¢ | +$3 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 30¢ | +$3 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 57¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 3.3¢ | 1.9¢ | -$3 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 2.8¢ | 2.1¢ | -$2 |
| Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 7.2¢ | 36¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $39 | 42¢ | 4.9¢ | -$35 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.9¢ | 0.8¢ | -$1 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be at least $1,196,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2 | 5.0¢ | 11¢ | +$2 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 57¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 14¢ | 5.5¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 14¢ | 7.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 9.2¢ | 5.3¢ | -$2 |
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $7 | 1.1¢ | 0.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 36¢ | 62¢ | +$1 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,161,000 and $1,196,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2 | 5.7¢ | 7.3¢ | +$1 |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$11 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 13¢ | 1.5¢ | -$18 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $29 | 34¢ | 2.6¢ | -$27 |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 8.7¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 19¢ | +$1 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 51¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
 Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.7¢ | +$1 |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.7¢ | 2.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 11¢ | 0.8¢ | -$23 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 5.0¢ | 2.3¢ | -$2 |
 Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $2 | 62¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
 Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$7 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 1.9¢ | 1.1¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 68¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 4.3¢ | 6.2¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $1 | 91¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $22 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$21 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $38 | 11¢ | 0.4¢ | -$37 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2 | 5.9¢ | 2.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $18 | 4.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$17 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 8.3¢ | 5.8¢ | -$0 |
