 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C or below on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 26?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will MrBeast hit 464 Million subscribers by January 31?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C or higher on January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 27?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on January 27?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or higher on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 22-23°F on January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C or below on January 27?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -11°C on January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 27?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 20-21°F on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 14-15°F on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -6°C or below on January 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 9°F or below on January 27?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C or below on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 26°F or higher on January 27?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 27?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C or below on January 27?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on January 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 28°F or higher on January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 38°F or higher on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 30°F or higher on January 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-24?Premier League | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 22°F or higher on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on January 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 18-19°F on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 16-17°F on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C or below on January 27?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 24?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 20-21°F on January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C or higher on January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on January 27?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or below on January 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 12-13°F on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -12°C on January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on January 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C or higher on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on January 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 36-37°F on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on January 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -13°C or below on January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or below on January 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Cashed out Yes · Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$26mo ago