 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $199 | 61¢ | 89¢ | +$90 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $71 | 57¢ | 94¢ | +$45 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $61 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$11 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $53 | 74¢ | 69¢ | -$4 |
 Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $34 | 59¢ | 50¢ | -$5 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $150 | 18¢ | 3.3¢ | -$123 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 6.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$8 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | No | $12 | 52¢ | 79¢ | +$6 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 35¢ | 11¢ | -$21 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$7 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 25¢ | 6.5¢ | -$15 |
 Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $27 | 13¢ | 1.1¢ | -$25 |
 Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $51 | 17¢ | 0.5¢ | -$49 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $163 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$163 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?Politics | NoResolved | $105 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Politics | NoResolved | $17 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $92 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$92 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $31 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Politics | NoResolved | $55 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $47 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $65 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Politics | NoResolved | $42 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Politics | NoResolved | $244 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$244 |
 Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $204 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$204 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics | YesResolved | $68 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $77 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
 Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Politics | YesResolved | $279 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$279 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $230 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?Politics | NoResolved | $41 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $664 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$664 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Politics | YesResolved | $97 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$97 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $33 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Politics | YesResolved | $78 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
 Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Politics | NoResolved | $67 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $182 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$182 |
 Will Lucy Powell be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $69 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $240 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$240 |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $114 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
 U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Trump kiss by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $58 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $180 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$180 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $260 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$260 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $106 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?Politics | NoResolved | $23 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $43 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $299 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$299 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $209 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$209 |
 Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics | NoResolved | $170 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $188 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$188 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $120 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $623 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$623 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $170 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $93 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $117 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$117 |
 Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
 Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $162 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$162 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $36 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Will Robert Mitchell win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $149 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$149 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $33 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $56 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$131d ago
Bought No · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?$41d ago
Bought No · Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$1972d ago
Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$1122d ago
Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1503d ago
Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$513d ago
Sold Yes · Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?$285d ago
Sold No · Kash Patel out by December 31?$395d ago