biasedboat

Predicting since Feb 202598 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$135	70¢	0.0¢	-$135
Will there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$21	41¢	0.0¢	-$21
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture	NoResolved	$14	44¢	0.0¢	-$14
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture	YesResolved	$3	11¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?Other sports	YesResolved	$2	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump shake hands with Javier Milei at the World Economic Forum?Politics	NoResolved	$10	51¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	43¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$10	50¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$13	64¢	0.0¢	-$13
Australian Open Men's: Joao Fonseca vs Eliot SpizzirriTennis	FonsecaResolved	$10	50¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?Politics	YesResolved	$9	55¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5	47¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$17	16¢	0.0¢	-$17
Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture	NoResolved	$10	71¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the US strike Iran next?Politics	YesResolved	$10	5.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?Tennis	YesResolved	$10	50¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture	YesResolved	$21	55¢	0.0¢	-$21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$17	61¢	0.0¢	-$17
Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture	YesResolved	$5	22¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?Other sports	YesResolved	$5	16¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?Politics	NoResolved	$6	36¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	NoResolved	$18	70¢	0.0¢	-$18
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	51¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump say "Wife" during WEF Address on January 21?Mentions	NoResolved	$10	70¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Kate Hudson be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	NoResolved	$30	64¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?Other sports	YesResolved	$3	10¢	0.0¢	-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$783

Tech-$172

UFC / MMA+$57

Culture-$55

Tennis-$20

Mentions-$18

Weather+$11

NBA+$7

Other sports-$2

Biggest hit

+$351

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$16

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Recent moves

Sold No · Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$65mo ago
Sold Yes · Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?$105mo ago
Sold No · Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$115mo ago
Sold Yes · Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$125mo ago
Sold No · US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?$525mo ago
Sold No · US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?$1075mo ago
Sold No · US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?$45mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$35mo ago
Sold Yes · Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$25mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the US strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?$125mo ago
Sold No · Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$615mo ago
Sold Yes · US government shutdown Saturday?$5685mo ago