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leviyuan-smart

Predicting since Mar 2026193 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$2059¢100¢+$14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$2043¢58¢+$7
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$2063¢82¢+$6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$2066¢85¢+$6
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?PoliticsNo$2052¢67¢+$6
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$2052¢66¢+$5
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$2039¢43¢+$2
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$2056¢59¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2056¢57¢+$1
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?EconomyYes$2069¢67¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2043¢42¢-$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$2064¢55¢-$3
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$654¢97¢+$5
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$538¢76¢+$5
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?PoliticsYes$555¢98¢+$4
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$541¢68¢+$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$528¢42¢+$2
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsYes$2039¢13¢-$13
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsNo$2063¢20¢-$14
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$569¢85¢+$1
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$568¢82¢+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$570¢83¢+$1
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$558¢66¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$532¢33¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$548¢44¢-$0
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$547¢35¢-$1
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$2048¢6.5¢-$17
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$432¢22¢-$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$558¢27¢-$3
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$435¢16¢-$2
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$348¢31¢-$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$545¢13¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

NBA-$124
Politics-$84
Economy+$7
Biggest hit
+$183
Heat vs. Rockets
Toughest beat
-$180
Bucks vs. Suns

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$212d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?$03d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?$205d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$108d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$208d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$209d ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$010d ago
  • Bought No · Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$2010d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?$2011d ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2011d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$711d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$1311d ago